Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vllaznia Shkodër preview
Egnatia Rrogozhinë faces Vllaznia Shkodër with a strong 80% chance of winning, while Vllaznia has just a 6% chance. The expected goals for Egnatia is 2.95, suggesting a likely scoreline of 2-0, which occurs 10% of the time in our model.
However, Vllaznia's recent form shows 1 win in their last 5 matches, which could impact their performance. The model indicates a 72% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance for both teams to score, meaning there’s potential for surprises if Vllaznia improves.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vllaznia Shkodër: model vs market
| Source | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Draw | Vllaznia Shkodër |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 80% | 13% | 6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 80% | 13% | 6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.95 vs 0.79.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Vllaznia Shkodër expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.74
- Attack rating (Egnatia Rrogozhinë / Vllaznia Shkodër)
- 1.60 / 0.82
- Defence rating (Egnatia Rrogozhinë / Vllaznia Shkodër)
- 0.95 / 1.43
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vllaznia Shkodër score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Egnatia Rrogozhinë goals. Columns: Vllaznia Shkodër goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vllaznia Shkodër goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vllaznia Shkodër
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 80% | 1.25 |
| Draw | 13% | 7.56 | |
| Vllaznia Shkodër | 6% | 15.46 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72% | 1.39 |
| Under 2.5 | 28% | 3.58 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.91 |
| No | 48% | 2.10 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Egnatia Rrogozhinë or draw) | 94% | 1.07 |
| 12 (either side) | 87% | 1.15 | |
| X2 (draw or Vllaznia Shkodër) | 20% | 5.08 | |
| Handicap -1 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë win by 2+ | 62% | 1.62 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë and Vllaznia Shkodër recent form
Egnatia Rrogozhinë
4W 0D 2L
Vllaznia Shkodër
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Egnatia Rrogozhinë at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Vllaznia Shkodër away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Egnatia Rrogozhinë at home only, Vllaznia Shkodër away only.
Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs Vllaznia Shkodër head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1 · draws 2 · Vllaznia Shkodër 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Vllaznia Shkodër | 1-2 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Albania Superliga |
| 2026-03-13 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 0-0 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Albania Superliga |
| 2026-01-14 | Vllaznia Shkodër | 1-0 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-11-04 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2-2 | Vllaznia Shkodër | Albania Superliga |
| 2025-08-22 | Vllaznia Shkodër | 2-0 | Egnatia Rrogozhinë | Albania Superliga |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
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Before and after this match
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë, previous: Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland prediction
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë, next: Aarhus – Egnatia Rrogozhinë, 2026-10-22
- Vllaznia Shkodër, previous: Vllaznia Shkodër v Dinamo Tirana analysis