Borac Banja Luka vs Sloga Doboj preview
Borac Banja Luka faces Sloga Doboj with a 77% probability for a home win and an expected scoreline of 2-0 at 14%. Borac Banja Luka has shown strong recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while Sloga Doboj has struggled, recording 4 losses in their last 5 games.
The model suggests a 60% chance for Over 2.5 goals, indicating a potential for a higher-scoring match. However, if Sloga Doboj improves their performance, they could disrupt the expected outcome, especially since both teams to score sits at 44%. The confidence grade is C, reflecting some uncertainty in the prediction.
Borac Banja Luka vs Sloga Doboj: model vs market
| Source | Borac Banja Luka | Draw | Sloga Doboj |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 77% | 16% | 7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 77% | 16% | 7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.47 vs 0.64.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Borac Banja Luka and Sloga Doboj expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.11
- Attack rating (Borac Banja Luka / Sloga Doboj)
- 1.45 / 0.75
- Defence rating (Borac Banja Luka / Sloga Doboj)
- 0.92 / 1.29
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Borac Banja Luka vs Sloga Doboj score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Borac Banja Luka goals. Columns: Sloga Doboj goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Borac Banja Luka vs Sloga Doboj goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 44%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Borac Banja Luka vs Sloga Doboj
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Borac Banja Luka | 77% | 1.30 |
| Draw | 16% | 6.18 | |
| Sloga Doboj | 7% | 14.64 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.66 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.51 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44% | 2.28 |
| No | 56% | 1.78 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Borac Banja Luka or draw) | 93% | 1.07 |
| 12 (either side) | 84% | 1.19 | |
| X2 (draw or Sloga Doboj) | 23% | 4.35 | |
| Handicap -1 | Borac Banja Luka win by 2+ | 55% | 1.81 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Borac Banja Luka and Sloga Doboj recent form
Borac Banja Luka
4W 0D 2L
Sloga Doboj
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Borac Banja Luka at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.20
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 5
- They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Sloga Doboj away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Borac Banja Luka at home only, Sloga Doboj away only.
Borac Banja Luka vs Sloga Doboj head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Borac Banja Luka 10 · draws 0 · Sloga Doboj 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Sloga Doboj | 1-2 | Borac Banja Luka | Premijer Liga |
| 2026-04-26 | Borac Banja Luka | 3-1 | Sloga Doboj | Premijer Liga |
| 2026-02-20 | Sloga Doboj | 0-4 | Borac Banja Luka | Premijer Liga |
| 2025-11-02 | Borac Banja Luka | 2-1 | Sloga Doboj | Premijer Liga |
| 2025-08-17 | Sloga Doboj | 0-1 | Borac Banja Luka | Premijer Liga |
| 2025-04-28 | Borac Banja Luka | 3-1 | Sloga Doboj | Premijer Liga |
| 2024-12-01 | Borac Banja Luka | 4-0 | Sloga Doboj | Premijer Liga |
| 2024-11-20 | Sloga Doboj | 0-2 | Borac Banja Luka | Premijer Liga |
| 2024-04-12 | Borac Banja Luka | 1-0 | Sloga Doboj | Premijer Liga |
| 2023-12-02 | Sloga Doboj | 0-4 | Borac Banja Luka | Premijer Liga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Zrinjski v Radnik Bijeljina — match page 2026-10-24
- Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2026-10-24
- Velež vs BSK Banja Luka — team news & stats 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Borac Banja Luka, previous: Borac Banja Luka vs KuPS: odds and pick
- Borac Banja Luka, next: Mjallby AIF v Borac Banja Luka analysis
- Sloga Doboj, previous: Sloga Doboj – Siroki Brijeg, 2026-10-16