Zrinjski vs Radnik Bijeljina preview
Zrinjski faces Radnik Bijeljina with an 86% chance of winning, while Radnik has just a 5% chance. The most likely scoreline is 3-0, which aligns with Zrinjski's expected goals of 3.72 compared to Radnik's 0.92.
Zrinjski's recent form shows 5 wins in their last 6 matches, while Radnik has drawn 3 of their last 6. Although our model predicts Over 2.5 goals at 84%, the possibility of Radnik scoring could affect that outcome, as they have a 59% chance of both teams scoring. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the prediction.
Zrinjski vs Radnik Bijeljina: model vs market
| Source | Zrinjski | Draw | Radnik Bijeljina |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.86 vs 0.86.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Zrinjski and Radnik Bijeljina expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.72
- Attack rating (Zrinjski / Radnik Bijeljina)
- 1.89 / 1.23
- Defence rating (Zrinjski / Radnik Bijeljina)
- 0.76 / 1.53
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Zrinjski vs Radnik Bijeljina score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Zrinjski goals. Columns: Radnik Bijeljina goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Zrinjski vs Radnik Bijeljina goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 1%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Zrinjski vs Radnik Bijeljina
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zrinjski | 88% | 1.14 |
| Draw | 8% | 12.38 | |
| Radnik Bijeljina | 4% | 25.97 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 85% | 1.18 |
| Under 2.5 | 15% | 6.63 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.76 |
| No | 43% | 2.32 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Zrinjski or draw) | 96% | 1.04 |
| 12 (either side) | 92% | 1.09 | |
| X2 (draw or Radnik Bijeljina) | 12% | 8.39 | |
| Handicap -1 | Zrinjski win by 2+ | 75% | 1.33 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Zrinjski and Radnik Bijeljina recent form
Zrinjski
5W 0D 1L
Radnik Bijeljina
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Zrinjski at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.20
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 8 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 2.2 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 57% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Radnik Bijeljina away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Zrinjski at home only, Radnik Bijeljina away only.
Zrinjski vs Radnik Bijeljina head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Zrinjski 5 · draws 0 · Radnik Bijeljina 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Radnik Bijeljina | 1-5 | Zrinjski | Premijer Liga |
| 2026-05-09 | Radnik Bijeljina | 0-1 | Zrinjski | Premijer Liga |
| 2026-03-08 | Zrinjski | 2-1 | Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga |
| 2025-11-21 | Radnik Bijeljina | 0-2 | Zrinjski | Premijer Liga |
| 2025-09-01 | Zrinjski | 2-0 | Radnik Bijeljina | Premijer Liga |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Siroki Brijeg vs Čelik — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- FK Sarajevo vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2026-10-24
- Borac Banja Luka v Sloga Doboj — match page 2026-10-24
- Velež vs BSK Banja Luka — team news & stats 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Zrinjski, previous: Čelik vs Zrinjski: odds and pick
- Radnik Bijeljina, previous: Radnik Bijeljina v FK Sarajevo analysis