Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC: model vs market
| Source | Supra du Quebec | Draw | Vancouver FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45% | 24% | 32% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 45% | 24% | 32% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.60.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Supra du Quebec and Vancouver FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.52
- Attack rating (Supra du Quebec / Vancouver FC)
- 1.06 / 1.01
- Defence rating (Supra du Quebec / Vancouver FC)
- 1.20 / 1.04
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Supra du Quebec goals. Columns: Vancouver FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 69%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Supra du Quebec | 45% | 2.24 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.20 | |
| Vancouver FC | 32% | 3.16 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68% | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | 3.14 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69% | 1.45 |
| No | 31% | 3.22 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Supra du Quebec or draw) | 68% | 1.46 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Vancouver FC) | 55% | 1.80 | |
| Handicap -1 | Supra du Quebec win by 2+ | 25% | 3.96 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Supra du Quebec and Vancouver FC recent form
Supra du Quebec
3W 0D 3L
Vancouver FC
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Supra du Quebec at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-6
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.42
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 12
- They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vancouver FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-7
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 12
- They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Supra du Quebec at home only, Vancouver FC away only.
Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Supra du Quebec 0 · draws 1 · Vancouver FC 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Vancouver FC | 3-2 | Supra du Quebec | Canadian Premier League |
| 2026-07-17 | Supra du Quebec | 1-5 | Vancouver FC | Canadian Premier League |
| 2026-05-23 | Vancouver FC | 1-1 | Supra du Quebec | Canadian Premier League |
Other Group Stage fixtures
- Supra du Quebec vs Pacific FC 2026-10-04
- York United v Supra du Quebec — match page 2026-10-07
- Forge vs Pacific FC 2026-10-07
- Pacific FC vs Atlético Ottawa 2026-10-11
- Forge v York United — match page 2026-10-12
- HFX Wanderers FC vs Cavalry FC — team news & stats 2026-10-12