CS Cartagines vs Puntarenas FC: model vs market
| Source | CS Cartagines | Draw | Puntarenas FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61% | 23% | 17% |
| Market | 62% | 22% | 15% |
| Published | 62% | 22% | 16% |
| Edge | 0% | 0% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 0.99.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
CS Cartagines vs Puntarenas FC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on CS Cartagines, 10 snapshots since 2026-10-09.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| CS Cartagines | 1.50 | 1.45 | -0.05 |
| Draw | 3.85 | 4.02 | +0.17 |
| Puntarenas FC | 5.50 | 5.85 | +0.35 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
CS Cartagines and Puntarenas FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.04
- Attack rating (CS Cartagines / Puntarenas FC)
- 1.30 / 0.92
- Defence rating (CS Cartagines / Puntarenas FC)
- 0.99 / 1.14
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CS Cartagines vs Puntarenas FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CS Cartagines goals. Columns: Puntarenas FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CS Cartagines vs Puntarenas FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CS Cartagines vs Puntarenas FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Cartagines | 62% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.45 | |
| Puntarenas FC | 16% | 6.37 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.41 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.79 |
| No | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CS Cartagines or draw) | 84% | 1.19 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Puntarenas FC) | 38% | 2.62 | |
| Handicap -1 | CS Cartagines win by 2+ | 38% | 2.63 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
CS Cartagines and Puntarenas FC recent form
CS Cartagines
4W 0D 2L
Puntarenas FC
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CS Cartagines at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Puntarenas FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: CS Cartagines at home only, Puntarenas FC away only.
CS Cartagines vs Puntarenas FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: CS Cartagines 5 · draws 3 · Puntarenas FC 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Puntarenas FC | 1-3 | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-03-08 | CS Cartagines | 3-2 | Puntarenas FC | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-01-18 | Puntarenas FC | 0-2 | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-10-18 | Puntarenas FC | 1-1 | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-08-31 | CS Cartagines | 0-0 | Puntarenas FC | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-03-30 | CS Cartagines | 1-0 | Puntarenas FC | Primera División |
| 2025-03-06 | Puntarenas FC | 1-0 | CS Cartagines | Primera División |
| 2024-11-10 | Puntarenas FC | 3-2 | CS Cartagines | Primera División |
| 2024-09-01 | CS Cartagines | 1-0 | Puntarenas FC | Primera División |
| 2024-05-11 | Puntarenas FC | 1-1 | CS Cartagines | Primera División |
Other Apertura - 11 fixtures
- San Carlos v Inter San Carlos — match page 2026-10-14
- Perez Zeledon v Escorpiones Belén — match page 2026-10-14
- LD Alajuelense vs CS Herediano 2026-10-15
- Deportivo Saprissa vs Sporting San Jose 2026-10-16
Before and after this match
- CS Cartagines, next: CS Cartagines – Deportivo Saprissa, 2026-10-18
- Puntarenas FC, next: Escorpiones Belén vs Puntarenas FC: odds and pick