CS Cartagines vs Puntarenas FC: model vs market
| Source | CS Cartagines | Draw | Puntarenas FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67% | 21% | 12% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 67% | 21% | 12% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.18 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
CS Cartagines and Puntarenas FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.02
- Attack rating (CS Cartagines / Puntarenas FC)
- 1.35 / 0.90
- Defence rating (CS Cartagines / Puntarenas FC)
- 0.85 / 1.17
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CS Cartagines vs Puntarenas FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CS Cartagines goals. Columns: Puntarenas FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CS Cartagines vs Puntarenas FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CS Cartagines vs Puntarenas FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Cartagines | 67% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.83 | |
| Puntarenas FC | 12% | 8.06 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.39 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.94 |
| No | 49% | 2.06 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CS Cartagines or draw) | 88% | 1.14 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.26 | |
| X2 (draw or Puntarenas FC) | 33% | 3.02 | |
| Handicap -1 | CS Cartagines win by 2+ | 44% | 2.28 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
CS Cartagines and Puntarenas FC recent form
CS Cartagines
4W 0D 2L
Puntarenas FC
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CS Cartagines at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
Puntarenas FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: CS Cartagines at home only, Puntarenas FC away only.
CS Cartagines vs Puntarenas FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: CS Cartagines 5 · draws 3 · Puntarenas FC 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Puntarenas FC | 1-3 | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-03-08 | CS Cartagines | 3-2 | Puntarenas FC | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-01-18 | Puntarenas FC | 0-2 | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-10-18 | Puntarenas FC | 1-1 | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-08-31 | CS Cartagines | 0-0 | Puntarenas FC | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-03-30 | CS Cartagines | 1-0 | Puntarenas FC | Primera División |
| 2025-03-06 | Puntarenas FC | 1-0 | CS Cartagines | Primera División |
| 2024-11-10 | Puntarenas FC | 3-2 | CS Cartagines | Primera División |
| 2024-09-01 | CS Cartagines | 1-0 | Puntarenas FC | Primera División |
| 2024-05-11 | Puntarenas FC | 1-1 | CS Cartagines | Primera División |