Escorpiones Belén vs Puntarenas FC preview
In the upcoming fixture between Escorpiones Belén and Puntarenas FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Escorpiones Belén at 44%, while Puntarenas FC is at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 9% chance according to our model. Escorpiones Belén has an expected goals figure of 1.50, compared to Puntarenas FC's 1.15, indicating a slight edge for the home side.
However, recent form reveals that Escorpiones Belén has struggled, with 4 losses in their last 6 matches. Puntarenas FC has shown more resilience, with 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 6 games. Both teams to score stands at 54%, suggesting a potential for goals, but the recent head-to-head record shows Puntarenas FC dominating with 6 wins out of the last 7 encounters.
Escorpiones Belén vs Puntarenas FC: model vs market
| Source | Escorpiones Belén | Draw | Puntarenas FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44% | 28% | 28% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 44% | 28% | 28% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 1.13.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Escorpiones Belén and Puntarenas FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.63
- Attack rating (Escorpiones Belén / Puntarenas FC)
- 0.86 / 0.92
- Defence rating (Escorpiones Belén / Puntarenas FC)
- 1.12 / 1.25
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Escorpiones Belén vs Puntarenas FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Escorpiones Belén goals. Columns: Puntarenas FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Escorpiones Belén vs Puntarenas FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Escorpiones Belén vs Puntarenas FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Escorpiones Belén | 44% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.56 | |
| Puntarenas FC | 28% | 3.64 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.04 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.96 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.85 |
| No | 46% | 2.17 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Escorpiones Belén or draw) | 72% | 1.38 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Puntarenas FC) | 56% | 1.80 | |
| Handicap -1 | Escorpiones Belén win by 2+ | 23% | 4.41 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Escorpiones Belén and Puntarenas FC recent form
Escorpiones Belén
2W 0D 4L
Puntarenas FC
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Escorpiones Belén at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Puntarenas FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Escorpiones Belén at home only, Puntarenas FC away only.
Escorpiones Belén vs Puntarenas FC head-to-head
Last 7 meetings: Escorpiones Belén 0 · draws 1 · Puntarenas FC 6.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Puntarenas FC | 1-0 | Escorpiones Belén | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-08-20 | Puntarenas FC | 1-1 | Escorpiones Belén | Copa Costa Rica |
| 2025-08-07 | Escorpiones Belén | 2-3 | Puntarenas FC | Copa Costa Rica |
| 2022-04-10 | Escorpiones Belén | 1-2 | Puntarenas FC | Liga de Ascenso |
| 2022-02-24 | Puntarenas FC | 3-0 | Escorpiones Belén | Liga de Ascenso |
| 2021-11-05 | Puntarenas FC | 6-2 | Escorpiones Belén | Liga de Ascenso |
| 2021-09-18 | Escorpiones Belén | 1-3 | Puntarenas FC | Liga de Ascenso |
Other Apertura - 12 fixtures
- Inter San Carlos vs LD Alajuelense 2026-10-18
- CS Cartagines vs Deportivo Saprissa 2026-10-18
- Perez Zeledon vs CS Herediano — team news & stats 2026-10-18
- Sporting San Jose v San Carlos — match page 2026-10-20
Before and after this match
- Escorpiones Belén, previous: Perez Zeledon vs Escorpiones Belén prediction
- Escorpiones Belén, next: Escorpiones Belén – Sporting San Jose, 2026-10-24
- Puntarenas FC, previous: CS Cartagines – Puntarenas FC, 2026-10-14
- Puntarenas FC, next: Puntarenas FC – Inter San Carlos, 2026-10-25