Perez Zeledon vs Escorpiones Belén preview
In the match between Perez Zeledon and Escorpiones Belén, the 1X2 probabilities show Perez Zeledon at 52%, while Escorpiones Belén sits at 18%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 15% chance, indicating a low-scoring affair. However, the prediction could be challenged if either team manages to exceed their expected goals, with Perez Zeledon at 1.42 and Escorpiones Belén at 0.73.
Both teams to score has a probability of 41%, suggesting that while scoring from both sides is possible, it is not highly likely. Escorpiones Belén's recent form is concerning, with 6 consecutive losses, which may impact their performance. Meanwhile, Perez Zeledon's recent results show inconsistency, with 3 losses in their last 5 matches.
Perez Zeledon vs Escorpiones Belén: model vs market
| Source | Perez Zeledon | Draw | Escorpiones Belén |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52% | 30% | 18% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 52% | 30% | 18% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 0.73.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Perez Zeledon and Escorpiones Belén expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.15
- Attack rating (Perez Zeledon / Escorpiones Belén)
- 0.78 / 0.55
- Defence rating (Perez Zeledon / Escorpiones Belén)
- 1.21 / 1.31
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Perez Zeledon vs Escorpiones Belén score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Perez Zeledon goals. Columns: Escorpiones Belén goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Perez Zeledon vs Escorpiones Belén goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 40%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Perez Zeledon vs Escorpiones Belén
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Perez Zeledon | 52% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.37 | |
| Escorpiones Belén | 18% | 5.56 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36% | 2.75 |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | 1.57 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40% | 2.47 |
| No | 60% | 1.68 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Perez Zeledon or draw) | 82% | 1.22 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Escorpiones Belén) | 48% | 2.10 | |
| Handicap -1 | Perez Zeledon win by 2+ | 27% | 3.73 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Perez Zeledon and Escorpiones Belén recent form
Perez Zeledon
1W 1D 4L
Escorpiones Belén
0W 0D 6L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Perez Zeledon at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Escorpiones Belén away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Perez Zeledon at home only, Escorpiones Belén away only.
Perez Zeledon vs Escorpiones Belén head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Perez Zeledon 0 · draws 1 · Escorpiones Belén 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Escorpiones Belén | 0-0 | Perez Zeledon | Costa Rica Primera División |
Other Apertura - 11 fixtures
- CS Cartagines vs Puntarenas FC — team news & stats 2026-10-14
- San Carlos v Inter San Carlos — match page 2026-10-14
- LD Alajuelense vs CS Herediano 2026-10-15
- Deportivo Saprissa vs Sporting San Jose 2026-10-16
Before and after this match
- Perez Zeledon, previous: Inter San Carlos v Perez Zeledon analysis
- Escorpiones Belén, previous: Escorpiones Belén – Deportivo Saprissa, 2026-10-11