Deportivo Saprissa vs Sporting San Jose preview
In the upcoming match between Deportivo Saprissa and Sporting San Jose, the 1X2 probabilities show Deportivo Saprissa at 47% to win, while both teams have a 26% chance of a draw or a Sporting San Jose victory. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 10% probability. The model indicates a strong possibility of Over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 59%.
Deportivo Saprissa's expected goals stand at 1.71, compared to Sporting San Jose's 1.23. Recent form shows Deportivo Saprissa with a mixed record of W-L-W-W-L-W, while Sporting San Jose has been more consistent with W-W-L-W-W-W. The head-to-head record favors Deportivo Saprissa with 6 wins out of the last 9 encounters. However, the confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty in the outcome.
Deportivo Saprissa vs Sporting San Jose: model vs market
| Source | Deportivo Saprissa | Draw | Sporting San Jose |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46% | 25% | 29% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 46% | 25% | 29% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 1.36.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Deportivo Saprissa and Sporting San Jose expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.10
- Attack rating (Deportivo Saprissa / Sporting San Jose)
- 1.49 / 1.35
- Defence rating (Deportivo Saprissa / Sporting San Jose)
- 0.91 / 0.84
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Deportivo Saprissa vs Sporting San Jose score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Deportivo Saprissa goals. Columns: Sporting San Jose goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Deportivo Saprissa vs Sporting San Jose goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Deportivo Saprissa vs Sporting San Jose
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Saprissa | 46% | 2.19 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.92 | |
| Sporting San Jose | 29% | 3.47 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.50 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.60 |
| No | 38% | 2.66 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Deportivo Saprissa or draw) | 71% | 1.41 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Sporting San Jose) | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Saprissa win by 2+ | 25% | 3.98 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Deportivo Saprissa and Sporting San Jose recent form
Deportivo Saprissa
4W 0D 2L
Sporting San Jose
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Deportivo Saprissa at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Sporting San Jose away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Deportivo Saprissa at home only, Sporting San Jose away only.
Deportivo Saprissa vs Sporting San Jose head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: Deportivo Saprissa 6 · draws 1 · Sporting San Jose 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Sporting San Jose | 4-2 | Deportivo Saprissa | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-04-16 | Sporting San Jose | 1-3 | Deportivo Saprissa | Copa Costa Rica |
| 2026-03-06 | Deportivo Saprissa | 1-2 | Sporting San Jose | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-01-23 | Sporting San Jose | 0-1 | Deportivo Saprissa | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-12-06 | Sporting San Jose | 0-0 | Deportivo Saprissa | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-08-24 | Deportivo Saprissa | 4-0 | Sporting San Jose | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-04-06 | Sporting San Jose | 0-1 | Deportivo Saprissa | Primera División |
| 2025-02-23 | Deportivo Saprissa | 2-0 | Sporting San Jose | Primera División |
| 2024-10-20 | Deportivo Saprissa | 1-0 | Sporting San Jose | Primera División |
Other Apertura - 11 fixtures
- CS Cartagines vs Puntarenas FC — team news & stats 2026-10-14
- San Carlos v Inter San Carlos — match page 2026-10-14
- Perez Zeledon v Escorpiones Belén — match page 2026-10-14
- LD Alajuelense vs CS Herediano 2026-10-15
Before and after this match
- Deportivo Saprissa, previous: Escorpiones Belén – Deportivo Saprissa, 2026-10-11
- Sporting San Jose, previous: Sporting San Jose vs CS Cartagines prediction