San Carlos vs Inter San Carlos preview
In the match between San Carlos and Inter San Carlos, the 1X2 probabilities show San Carlos at 52%, while Inter San Carlos is at 19%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 15% chance. San Carlos has a strong recent form with 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while Inter San Carlos has won 3 of their last 6.
The expected goals indicate San Carlos at 1.42 and Inter San Carlos at 0.76. However, the 37% chance for Over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score suggest that a low-scoring match is more likely. This could change if Inter San Carlos improves their scoring efficiency or if San Carlos struggles to convert chances.
San Carlos vs Inter San Carlos: model vs market
| Source | San Carlos | Draw | Inter San Carlos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52% | 30% | 19% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 52% | 30% | 19% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 0.75.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
San Carlos and Inter San Carlos expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.18
- Attack rating (San Carlos / Inter San Carlos)
- 0.91 / 0.84
- Defence rating (San Carlos / Inter San Carlos)
- 0.82 / 1.13
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
San Carlos vs Inter San Carlos score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: San Carlos goals. Columns: Inter San Carlos goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
San Carlos vs Inter San Carlos goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 41%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for San Carlos vs Inter San Carlos
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Carlos | 52% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.38 | |
| Inter San Carlos | 19% | 5.38 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37% | 2.70 |
| Under 2.5 | 63% | 1.59 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41% | 2.42 |
| No | 59% | 1.71 | |
| Double chance | 1X (San Carlos or draw) | 81% | 1.23 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Inter San Carlos) | 48% | 2.08 | |
| Handicap -1 | San Carlos win by 2+ | 27% | 3.77 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
San Carlos and Inter San Carlos recent form
San Carlos
5W 0D 1L
Inter San Carlos
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
San Carlos at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Inter San Carlos away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: San Carlos at home only, Inter San Carlos away only.
San Carlos vs Inter San Carlos head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: San Carlos 0 · draws 0 · Inter San Carlos 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Inter San Carlos | 2-0 | San Carlos | Costa Rica Primera División |
Other Apertura - 11 fixtures
- CS Cartagines vs Puntarenas FC — team news & stats 2026-10-14
- Perez Zeledon v Escorpiones Belén — match page 2026-10-14
- LD Alajuelense vs CS Herediano 2026-10-15
- Deportivo Saprissa vs Sporting San Jose 2026-10-16
Before and after this match
- San Carlos, previous: CS Herediano v San Carlos analysis
- Inter San Carlos, previous: Inter San Carlos v Perez Zeledon analysis