Perez Zeledon vs CS Herediano preview
In the match between Perez Zeledon and CS Herediano, the 1X2 probabilities show CS Herediano at 44% and Perez Zeledon at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs with a 10% probability. CS Herediano has a stronger recent form, with 7 wins in their last 10 head-to-head encounters, compared to Perez Zeledon's 2 wins.
However, the expected goals indicate Perez Zeledon at 1.15 and CS Herediano at 0.99, suggesting a tighter match than the probabilities imply. While both teams to score stands at 44%, the potential for a low-scoring game remains, as Over 2.5 goals is only at 36%. This could lead to an unexpected result if either team fails to convert their chances.
Perez Zeledon vs CS Herediano: model vs market
| Source | Perez Zeledon | Draw | CS Herediano |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 32% | 30% |
| Market | 24% | 27% | 49% |
| Published | 28% | 28% | 44% |
| Edge | +14% | +5% | -19% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.00, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Perez Zeledon vs CS Herediano odds movement
Median bookmaker price on CS Herediano, 7 snapshots since 2026-10-15.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Perez Zeledon | 3.42 | 3.70 | +0.28 |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.35 | +0.05 |
| CS Herediano | 1.95 | 1.85 | -0.09 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Perez Zeledon and CS Herediano expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.14
- Attack rating (Perez Zeledon / CS Herediano)
- 0.78 / 0.67
- Defence rating (Perez Zeledon / CS Herediano)
- 1.32 / 1.06
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Perez Zeledon vs CS Herediano score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Perez Zeledon goals. Columns: CS Herediano goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Perez Zeledon vs CS Herediano goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 44%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Perez Zeledon vs CS Herediano
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Perez Zeledon | 28% | 3.59 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.54 | |
| CS Herediano | 44% | 2.28 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36% | 2.77 |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44% | 2.26 |
| No | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Perez Zeledon or draw) | 56% | 1.78 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or CS Herediano) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| Handicap -1 | CS Herediano win by 2+ | 11% | 8.76 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Perez Zeledon and CS Herediano recent form
Perez Zeledon
1W 2D 3L
CS Herediano
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Perez Zeledon at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-4
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CS Herediano away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-3
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 11 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Perez Zeledon at home only, CS Herediano away only.
Perez Zeledon vs CS Herediano head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Perez Zeledon 2 · draws 1 · CS Herediano 7.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | CS Herediano | 2-3 | Perez Zeledon | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-04-23 | Perez Zeledon | 0-1 | CS Herediano | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-03-01 | CS Herediano | 3-0 | Perez Zeledon | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-12-07 | Perez Zeledon | 1-3 | CS Herediano | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-08-17 | CS Herediano | 2-1 | Perez Zeledon | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-03-27 | CS Herediano | 3-0 | Perez Zeledon | Primera División |
| 2025-01-31 | Perez Zeledon | 0-1 | CS Herediano | Primera División |
| 2024-11-03 | CS Herediano | 4-1 | Perez Zeledon | Primera División |
| 2024-07-21 | Perez Zeledon | 0-0 | CS Herediano | Primera División |
| 2024-05-05 | Perez Zeledon | 1-0 | CS Herediano | Primera División |
Other Apertura - 12 fixtures
- Inter San Carlos vs LD Alajuelense 2026-10-18
- CS Cartagines vs Deportivo Saprissa 2026-10-18
- Sporting San Jose v San Carlos — match page 2026-10-20
- Escorpiones Belén vs Puntarenas FC — team news & stats 2026-10-20
Before and after this match
- Perez Zeledon, previous: Perez Zeledon vs Escorpiones Belén prediction
- CS Herediano, previous: LD Alajuelense v CS Herediano analysis
- CS Herediano, next: CS Herediano v CS Cartagines analysis