CS Herediano vs CS Cartagines preview
CS Herediano faces CS Cartagines with a 20% chance of winning for Herediano and a 54% chance for Cartagines. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 12%. CS Herediano has struggled recently, with 4 losses in their last 6 matches, while Cartagines has shown better form, winning 4 of their last 6.
The expected goals suggest a low-scoring match, with CS Herediano at 0.91 and CS Cartagines at 1.65. The probabilities for Over 2.5 goals stand at 47% and both teams to score at 50%. A surprise result could occur if Herediano improves their form or if Cartagines underperforms.
CS Herediano vs CS Cartagines: model vs market
| Source | CS Herediano | Draw | CS Cartagines |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20% | 27% | 54% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 20% | 27% | 54% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
CS Herediano and CS Cartagines expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.57
- Attack rating (CS Herediano / CS Cartagines)
- 0.67 / 1.41
- Defence rating (CS Herediano / CS Cartagines)
- 1.06 / 0.97
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CS Herediano vs CS Cartagines score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CS Herediano goals. Columns: CS Cartagines goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CS Herediano vs CS Cartagines goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CS Herediano vs CS Cartagines
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Herediano | 20% | 5.09 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.73 | |
| CS Cartagines | 54% | 1.87 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47% | 2.11 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 2.02 |
| No | 50% | 1.98 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CS Herediano or draw) | 46% | 2.15 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or CS Cartagines) | 80% | 1.24 | |
| Handicap -1 | CS Cartagines win by 2+ | 30% | 3.37 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
CS Herediano and CS Cartagines recent form
CS Herediano
1W 1D 4L
CS Cartagines
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CS Herediano at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 2.20
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 11 matches.
CS Cartagines away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-4
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: CS Herediano at home only, CS Cartagines away only.
CS Herediano vs CS Cartagines head-to-head
Last 7 meetings: CS Herediano 4 · draws 1 · CS Cartagines 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | CS Cartagines | 1-0 | CS Herediano | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-05-10 | CS Herediano | 0-0 | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-05-03 | CS Cartagines | 0-1 | CS Herediano | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-04-11 | CS Cartagines | 1-2 | CS Herediano | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-02-15 | CS Herediano | 1-0 | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-10-26 | CS Herediano | 2-1 | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-09-11 | CS Cartagines | 2-0 | CS Herediano | Costa Rica Primera División |
Other Apertura - 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
- CS Herediano, previous: Perez Zeledon vs CS Herediano prediction
- CS Cartagines, previous: CS Cartagines – Deportivo Saprissa, 2026-10-18