CS Cartagines vs San Carlos preview
In the match between CS Cartagines and San Carlos, the model gives CS Cartagines a 43% chance to win, with a predicted scoreline of 2-1 at 9%. The likelihood of Over 2.5 goals is 52%, while both teams to score stands at 56%. CS Cartagines has an expected goals figure of 1.53 compared to San Carlos's 1.22.
However, recent form shows CS Cartagines with two wins in their last five matches, while San Carlos has three wins in their last five. This discrepancy in form could impact the expected outcome, making it possible for San Carlos to surprise. The head-to-head record favors CS Cartagines, but the confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty in the prediction.
CS Cartagines vs San Carlos: model vs market
| Source | CS Cartagines | Draw | San Carlos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43% | 28% | 29% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 43% | 28% | 29% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 1.22.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
CS Cartagines and San Carlos expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.75
- Attack rating (CS Cartagines / San Carlos)
- 1.21 / 1.05
- Defence rating (CS Cartagines / San Carlos)
- 1.03 / 0.89
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CS Cartagines vs San Carlos score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CS Cartagines goals. Columns: San Carlos goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CS Cartagines vs San Carlos goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CS Cartagines vs San Carlos
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Cartagines | 43% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.62 | |
| San Carlos | 29% | 3.41 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52% | 1.93 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 2.08 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.77 |
| No | 44% | 2.29 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CS Cartagines or draw) | 71% | 1.41 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or San Carlos) | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Handicap -1 | CS Cartagines win by 2+ | 22% | 4.53 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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CS Cartagines and San Carlos recent form
CS Cartagines
3W 0D 3L
San Carlos
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CS Cartagines at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.17
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 8 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
San Carlos away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: CS Cartagines at home only, San Carlos away only.
CS Cartagines vs San Carlos head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: CS Cartagines 6 · draws 3 · San Carlos 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | San Carlos | 1-0 | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-04-22 | CS Cartagines | 2-1 | San Carlos | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-03-02 | San Carlos | 1-1 | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-11-02 | CS Cartagines | 2-1 | San Carlos | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-09-14 | San Carlos | 0-2 | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-04-17 | San Carlos | 1-2 | CS Cartagines | Primera División |
| 2025-01-24 | CS Cartagines | 2-1 | San Carlos | Primera División |
| 2024-10-17 | CS Cartagines | 4-4 | San Carlos | Primera División |
| 2024-07-25 | San Carlos | 0-0 | CS Cartagines | Primera División |
| 2024-04-13 | CS Cartagines | 3-1 | San Carlos | Primera División |
Other Apertura - 14 fixtures
- Inter San Carlos v Escorpiones Belén — match page 2026-10-31
- Perez Zeledon v Puntarenas FC — match page 2026-10-31
- Sporting San Jose vs CS Herediano 2026-11-01
- Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- CS Cartagines, previous: CS Herediano v CS Cartagines analysis
- San Carlos, previous: San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa prediction