Inter San Carlos vs Escorpiones Belén preview
In the fixture between Inter San Carlos and Escorpiones Belén, the 1X2 probabilities show Inter San Carlos at 51% to win, while Escorpiones Belén sits at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 1.84 for Inter San Carlos and 1.23 for Escorpiones Belén.
Both teams to score has a probability of 61%, indicating a good chance for goals from both sides. However, Inter San Carlos's recent form includes two draws and a loss, which could impact their performance. Escorpiones Belén has struggled with three losses in their last five matches, making their chances less favorable.
Inter San Carlos vs Escorpiones Belén: model vs market
| Source | Inter San Carlos | Draw | Escorpiones Belén |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 25% | 27% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 48% | 25% | 27% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.34.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Inter San Carlos and Escorpiones Belén expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.16
- Attack rating (Inter San Carlos / Escorpiones Belén)
- 0.96 / 0.92
- Defence rating (Inter San Carlos / Escorpiones Belén)
- 1.29 / 1.35
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Inter San Carlos vs Escorpiones Belén score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Inter San Carlos goals. Columns: Escorpiones Belén goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Inter San Carlos vs Escorpiones Belén goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 63%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Inter San Carlos vs Escorpiones Belén
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter San Carlos | 48% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 | |
| Escorpiones Belén | 27% | 3.68 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61% | 1.64 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 2.57 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 1.59 |
| No | 37% | 2.69 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Inter San Carlos or draw) | 73% | 1.37 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Escorpiones Belén) | 52% | 1.92 | |
| Handicap -1 | Inter San Carlos win by 2+ | 27% | 3.70 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Inter San Carlos and Escorpiones Belén recent form
Inter San Carlos
1W 2D 3L
Escorpiones Belén
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Inter San Carlos at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Escorpiones Belén away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-4
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Inter San Carlos at home only, Escorpiones Belén away only.
Inter San Carlos vs Escorpiones Belén head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Inter San Carlos 3 · draws 2 · Escorpiones Belén 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Escorpiones Belén | 0-2 | Inter San Carlos | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-05-12 | Escorpiones Belén | 0-1 | Inter San Carlos | Liga de Ascenso |
| 2026-05-05 | Inter San Carlos | 0-0 | Escorpiones Belén | Liga de Ascenso |
| 2025-05-04 | Inter San Carlos | 1-0 | Escorpiones Belén | Liga de Ascenso |
| 2025-05-01 | Escorpiones Belén | 0-0 | Inter San Carlos | Liga de Ascenso |
Other Apertura - 14 fixtures
- Perez Zeledon v Puntarenas FC — match page 2026-10-31
- Sporting San Jose vs CS Herediano 2026-11-01
- CS Cartagines vs San Carlos — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Inter San Carlos, previous: Puntarenas FC – Inter San Carlos, 2026-10-25
- Escorpiones Belén, previous: Escorpiones Belén – Sporting San Jose, 2026-10-24