Sporting San Jose vs CS Herediano preview
In the fixture between Sporting San Jose and CS Herediano, the 1X2 probabilities show Sporting San Jose at 50%, while CS Herediano sits at 27%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 2-1, which aligns with the expected goals of 2.02 for Sporting San Jose and 1.47 for CS Herediano.
Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both projected at 68%, indicating a strong likelihood for goals in the match. However, the recent form shows Sporting San Jose with 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while CS Herediano has only 3 wins in their last 6. This difference in form could impact the outcome, making the predictions less certain.
Sporting San Jose vs CS Herediano: model vs market
| Source | Sporting San Jose | Draw | CS Herediano |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 23% | 27% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 50% | 23% | 27% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.47.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Sporting San Jose and CS Herediano expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.50
- Attack rating (Sporting San Jose / CS Herediano)
- 1.48 / 1.00
- Defence rating (Sporting San Jose / CS Herediano)
- 1.30 / 0.97
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sporting San Jose vs CS Herediano score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sporting San Jose goals. Columns: CS Herediano goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sporting San Jose vs CS Herediano goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 68%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sporting San Jose vs CS Herediano
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting San Jose | 50% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.30 | |
| CS Herediano | 27% | 3.70 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68% | 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | 3.11 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68% | 1.48 |
| No | 32% | 3.10 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sporting San Jose or draw) | 73% | 1.37 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or CS Herediano) | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting San Jose win by 2+ | 29% | 3.40 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Sporting San Jose and CS Herediano recent form
Sporting San Jose
4W 1D 1L
CS Herediano
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sporting San Jose at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
CS Herediano away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-3
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.86
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sporting San Jose at home only, CS Herediano away only.
Sporting San Jose vs CS Herediano head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Sporting San Jose 1 · draws 2 · CS Herediano 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | CS Herediano | 0-3 | Sporting San Jose | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-04-26 | CS Herediano | 0-0 | Sporting San Jose | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-01-15 | Sporting San Jose | 0-2 | CS Herediano | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-11-01 | Sporting San Jose | 0-1 | CS Herediano | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-09-13 | CS Herediano | 0-0 | Sporting San Jose | Costa Rica Primera División |
Other Apertura - 14 fixtures
- Inter San Carlos v Escorpiones Belén — match page 2026-10-31
- Perez Zeledon v Puntarenas FC — match page 2026-10-31
- CS Cartagines vs San Carlos — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Sporting San Jose, previous: Escorpiones Belén – Sporting San Jose, 2026-10-24
- CS Herediano, previous: CS Herediano v CS Cartagines analysis