Sporting San Jose vs Perez Zeledon: model vs market
| Source | Sporting San Jose | Draw | Perez Zeledon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73% | 17% | 10% |
| Market | 68% | 19% | 12% |
| Published | 70% | 19% | 12% |
| Edge | +1% | -1% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.58 vs 0.89.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
Sporting San Jose vs Perez Zeledon odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Sporting San Jose, 6 snapshots since 2026-11-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting San Jose | 1.44 | 1.34 | -0.10 |
| Draw | 4.20 | 4.80 | +0.60 |
| Perez Zeledon | 5.50 | 7.35 | +1.85 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Sporting San Jose and Perez Zeledon expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.47
- Attack rating (Sporting San Jose / Perez Zeledon)
- 1.43 / 0.67
- Defence rating (Sporting San Jose / Perez Zeledon)
- 1.19 / 1.28
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sporting San Jose vs Perez Zeledon score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sporting San Jose goals. Columns: Perez Zeledon goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sporting San Jose vs Perez Zeledon goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sporting San Jose vs Perez Zeledon
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting San Jose | 70% | 1.44 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.39 | |
| Perez Zeledon | 12% | 8.45 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.48 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 3.06 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.81 |
| No | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sporting San Jose or draw) | 88% | 1.13 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.23 | |
| X2 (draw or Perez Zeledon) | 30% | 3.29 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting San Jose win by 2+ | 52% | 1.91 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Sporting San Jose and Perez Zeledon recent form
Sporting San Jose
4W 1D 1L
Perez Zeledon
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sporting San Jose at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-2-0
- Win rate
- 71%
- Goals for / match
- 2.29
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 7
- They have won 8 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Perez Zeledon away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-3
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 0.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 14 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sporting San Jose at home only, Perez Zeledon away only.
Sporting San Jose vs Perez Zeledon head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Sporting San Jose 4 · draws 4 · Perez Zeledon 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Perez Zeledon | 1-2 | Sporting San Jose | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-03-10 | Sporting San Jose | 3-2 | Perez Zeledon | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-01-27 | Perez Zeledon | 0-0 | Sporting San Jose | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-10-15 | Sporting San Jose | 0-0 | Perez Zeledon | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-08-10 | Perez Zeledon | 2-1 | Sporting San Jose | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-04-21 | Sporting San Jose | 0-0 | Perez Zeledon | Primera División |
| 2025-01-12 | Perez Zeledon | 1-1 | Sporting San Jose | Primera División |
| 2024-11-11 | Sporting San Jose | 0-1 | Perez Zeledon | Primera División |
| 2024-07-30 | Perez Zeledon | 0-2 | Sporting San Jose | Primera División |
| 2024-03-26 | Perez Zeledon | 1-2 | Sporting San Jose | Primera División |
Other Apertura - 15 fixtures
- Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos 2026-11-05
- Escorpiones Belén vs LD Alajuelense — team news & stats 2026-11-05
- Inter San Carlos vs CS Cartagines 2026-11-05
- CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa — team news & stats 2026-11-06
Before and after this match
- Sporting San Jose, previous: Sporting San Jose – CS Herediano, 2026-11-01
- Sporting San Jose, next: LD Alajuelense vs Sporting San Jose: odds and pick
- Perez Zeledon, previous: Perez Zeledon vs Puntarenas FC: odds and pick
- Perez Zeledon, next: San Carlos vs Perez Zeledon prediction