Inter San Carlos vs CS Cartagines preview
In the fixture between Inter San Carlos and CS Cartagines, the 1X2 probabilities show CS Cartagines at 45%, while Inter San Carlos sits at 30%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% probability. CS Cartagines has shown better recent form, winning 3 of their last 6 matches, compared to Inter San Carlos, who has only won 1 of their last 6.
The model suggests a strong chance of Over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams to score at 63%. However, the outcome could be influenced by Inter San Carlos's ability to improve their form and capitalize on home advantage. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Inter San Carlos vs CS Cartagines: model vs market
| Source | Inter San Carlos | Draw | CS Cartagines |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24% | 23% | 53% |
| Market | 32% | 29% | 39% |
| Published | 30% | 27% | 43% |
| Edge | -2% | -1% | +4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.09 vs 1.35.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices CS Cartagines below our published probability: +3.6 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.41, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +2.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Inter San Carlos vs CS Cartagines odds movement
Median bookmaker price on CS Cartagines, 4 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter San Carlos | 2.80 | 2.80 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.18 | 3.16 | -0.02 |
| CS Cartagines | 2.32 | 2.32 | -0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Inter San Carlos and CS Cartagines expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.44
- Attack rating (Inter San Carlos / CS Cartagines)
- 1.02 / 1.34
- Defence rating (Inter San Carlos / CS Cartagines)
- 1.39 / 0.94
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Inter San Carlos vs CS Cartagines score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Inter San Carlos goals. Columns: CS Cartagines goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Inter San Carlos vs CS Cartagines goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 66%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Inter San Carlos vs CS Cartagines
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Inter San Carlos | 30% | 3.31 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 | |
| CS Cartagines | 43% | 2.35 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 3.01 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66% | 1.52 |
| No | 34% | 2.93 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Inter San Carlos or draw) | 57% | 1.74 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or CS Cartagines) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| Handicap -1 | CS Cartagines win by 2+ | 33% | 3.07 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Inter San Carlos and CS Cartagines recent form
Inter San Carlos
1W 1D 4L
CS Cartagines
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Inter San Carlos at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-2
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 1.29
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 5 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
CS Cartagines away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-5
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.57
- Goals against / match
- 1.86
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 7
- They have won 9 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.6 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Inter San Carlos at home only, CS Cartagines away only.
Inter San Carlos vs CS Cartagines head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Inter San Carlos 0 · draws 0 · CS Cartagines 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | CS Cartagines | 3-1 | Inter San Carlos | Costa Rica Primera División |
Other Apertura - 15 fixtures
Before and after this match
- Inter San Carlos, previous: Inter San Carlos v Escorpiones Belén analysis
- Inter San Carlos, next: CS Herediano vs Inter San Carlos prediction
- CS Cartagines, previous: CS Cartagines vs San Carlos prediction
- CS Cartagines, next: CS Cartagines v Escorpiones Belén analysis