CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa preview
In the match between CS Herediano and Deportivo Saprissa, the 1X2 probabilities show Deportivo Saprissa at 42% to win, while CS Herediano sits at 30%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs with a 9% probability. This suggests a close match, but CS Herediano's recent form, with 2 wins in their last 6 matches, could impact the outcome.
The model indicates a 48% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance for both teams to score. CS Herediano has expected goals of 1.18, while Deportivo Saprissa is at 1.43. If CS Herediano improves their attacking performance, it could lead to a different scoreline than expected.
CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa: model vs market
| Source | CS Herediano | Draw | Deportivo Saprissa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30% | 30% | 40% |
| Market | 36% | 29% | 35% |
| Published | 35% | 30% | 36% |
| Edge | -2% | 0% | +1% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.70, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Deportivo Saprissa, 4 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| CS Herediano | 2.50 | 2.50 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.10 | 3.10 | +0.00 |
| Deportivo Saprissa | 2.62 | 2.62 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
CS Herediano and Deportivo Saprissa expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.36
- Attack rating (CS Herediano / Deportivo Saprissa)
- 0.91 / 1.21
- Defence rating (CS Herediano / Deportivo Saprissa)
- 0.94 / 0.84
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CS Herediano goals. Columns: Deportivo Saprissa goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Herediano | 35% | 2.89 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.39 | |
| Deportivo Saprissa | 36% | 2.79 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42% | 2.38 |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.04 |
| No | 51% | 1.96 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CS Herediano or draw) | 64% | 1.56 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or Deportivo Saprissa) | 65% | 1.53 | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Saprissa win by 2+ | 18% | 5.44 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
CS Herediano and Deportivo Saprissa recent form
CS Herediano
2W 1D 3L
Deportivo Saprissa
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CS Herediano at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-4
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 14 matches.
Deportivo Saprissa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-5
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.29
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 8 of their 14 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.9 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 14 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 14 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: CS Herediano at home only, Deportivo Saprissa away only.
CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: CS Herediano 4 · draws 2 · Deportivo Saprissa 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Deportivo Saprissa | 2-0 | CS Herediano | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-07-18 | CS Herediano | 1-0 | Deportivo Saprissa | Recopa |
| 2026-05-17 | CS Herediano | 2-0 | Deportivo Saprissa | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-05-14 | Deportivo Saprissa | 2-1 | CS Herediano | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-03-08 | Deportivo Saprissa | 2-1 | CS Herediano | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-01-18 | CS Herediano | 2-0 | Deportivo Saprissa | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-11-23 | Deportivo Saprissa | 1-1 | CS Herediano | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-09-18 | CS Herediano | 3-3 | Deportivo Saprissa | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-05-15 | CS Herediano | 2-0 | Deportivo Saprissa | Primera División |
| 2025-05-11 | Deportivo Saprissa | 4-0 | CS Herediano | Primera División |
Other Apertura - 15 fixtures
- Sporting San Jose v Perez Zeledon — match page 2026-11-04
- Puntarenas FC vs San Carlos 2026-11-05
- Escorpiones Belén vs LD Alajuelense — team news & stats 2026-11-05
- Inter San Carlos vs CS Cartagines 2026-11-05
Before and after this match
- CS Herediano, previous: Sporting San Jose – CS Herediano, 2026-11-01
- CS Herediano, next: CS Herediano vs Inter San Carlos prediction
- Deportivo Saprissa, previous: Deportivo Saprissa v LD Alajuelense analysis
- Deportivo Saprissa, next: Deportivo Saprissa – Puntarenas FC, 2026-11-08