Perez Zeledon vs Puntarenas FC preview
In the match between Perez Zeledon and Puntarenas FC, the 1X2 probabilities show Puntarenas FC at 45%, while Perez Zeledon sits at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which aligns with Puntarenas FC's higher expected goals of 1.48 compared to Perez Zeledon's 1.10.
However, there are factors that could change the outcome. Both teams to score stands at 53%, indicating a reasonable chance for Perez Zeledon to find the net. Additionally, recent form shows Perez Zeledon with 1 win in their last 5 matches, while Puntarenas FC has had mixed results with 2 wins. This could create opportunities for an upset or a draw.
Perez Zeledon vs Puntarenas FC: model vs market
| Source | Perez Zeledon | Draw | Puntarenas FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22% | 27% | 51% |
| Market | 35% | 28% | 36% |
| Published | 32% | 28% | 40% |
| Edge | -3% | 0% | +4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 1.00.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Puntarenas FC below our published probability: +3.6 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.62, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +4.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Perez Zeledon and Puntarenas FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.61
- Attack rating (Perez Zeledon / Puntarenas FC)
- 0.63 / 1.08
- Defence rating (Perez Zeledon / Puntarenas FC)
- 1.32 / 1.12
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Perez Zeledon vs Puntarenas FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Perez Zeledon goals. Columns: Puntarenas FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Perez Zeledon vs Puntarenas FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Perez Zeledon vs Puntarenas FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Perez Zeledon | 32% | 3.11 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.57 | |
| Puntarenas FC | 40% | 2.51 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48% | 2.07 |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 1.94 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.93 |
| No | 48% | 2.07 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Perez Zeledon or draw) | 60% | 1.66 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.39 | |
| X2 (draw or Puntarenas FC) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| Handicap -1 | Puntarenas FC win by 2+ | 27% | 3.65 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Perez Zeledon and Puntarenas FC recent form
Perez Zeledon
0W 1D 5L
Puntarenas FC
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Perez Zeledon at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-5
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 0.57
- Goals against / match
- 1.86
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 2 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Puntarenas FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Perez Zeledon at home only, Puntarenas FC away only.
Perez Zeledon vs Puntarenas FC head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Perez Zeledon 1 · draws 2 · Puntarenas FC 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Puntarenas FC | 1-0 | Perez Zeledon | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-04-12 | Perez Zeledon | 3-3 | Puntarenas FC | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-02-14 | Puntarenas FC | 1-0 | Perez Zeledon | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-11-02 | Puntarenas FC | 1-2 | Perez Zeledon | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-09-14 | Perez Zeledon | 1-1 | Puntarenas FC | Costa Rica Primera División |
Other Apertura - 14 fixtures
- Inter San Carlos v Escorpiones Belén — match page 2026-10-31
- Sporting San Jose vs CS Herediano 2026-11-01
- CS Cartagines vs San Carlos — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Perez Zeledon, previous: LD Alajuelense vs Perez Zeledon: odds and pick
- Puntarenas FC, previous: Puntarenas FC – Inter San Carlos, 2026-10-25