Escorpiones Belén vs Sporting San Jose preview
In the fixture between Escorpiones Belén and Sporting San Jose, the 1X2 probabilities show Sporting San Jose at 38% to win, while Escorpiones Belén sits at 35%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score has a 60% probability, and Over 2.5 goals is at 56%.
Escorpiones Belén's recent form includes 2 wins and 4 losses, while Sporting San Jose has 4 wins and 2 losses. The expected goals are close, with Escorpiones Belén at 1.43 and Sporting San Jose at 1.49. A draw is less likely at 27%, but if Escorpiones Belén can improve their form, it could affect the outcome.
Escorpiones Belén vs Sporting San Jose: model vs market
| Source | Escorpiones Belén | Draw | Sporting San Jose |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 27% | 38% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 35% | 27% | 38% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Escorpiones Belén and Sporting San Jose expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.91
- Attack rating (Escorpiones Belén / Sporting San Jose)
- 0.86 / 1.20
- Defence rating (Escorpiones Belén / Sporting San Jose)
- 1.12 / 1.18
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Escorpiones Belén vs Sporting San Jose score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Escorpiones Belén goals. Columns: Sporting San Jose goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Escorpiones Belén vs Sporting San Jose goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Escorpiones Belén vs Sporting San Jose
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Escorpiones Belén | 35% | 2.86 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.70 | |
| Sporting San Jose | 38% | 2.63 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 | 44% | 2.25 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.67 |
| No | 40% | 2.49 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Escorpiones Belén or draw) | 62% | 1.61 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Sporting San Jose) | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting San Jose win by 2+ | 19% | 5.30 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Escorpiones Belén and Sporting San Jose recent form
Escorpiones Belén
2W 0D 4L
Sporting San Jose
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Escorpiones Belén at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sporting San Jose away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-3
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Escorpiones Belén at home only, Sporting San Jose away only.
Escorpiones Belén vs Sporting San Jose head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Escorpiones Belén 0 · draws 0 · Sporting San Jose 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Sporting San Jose | 2-0 | Escorpiones Belén | Costa Rica Primera División |
Other Apertura - 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
- Escorpiones Belén, previous: Escorpiones Belén vs Puntarenas FC: odds and pick
- Sporting San Jose, previous: Sporting San Jose v San Carlos analysis