Puntarenas FC vs Inter San Carlos preview
Puntarenas FC faces Inter San Carlos with a 40% chance of winning compared to 33% for Inter San Carlos. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% probability. The model suggests a strong possibility for Over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 59%.
Puntarenas FC has an expected goals figure of 1.52, while Inter San Carlos is at 1.36. Recent form shows Puntarenas FC with 2 wins in their last 6 matches, while Inter San Carlos also has 2 wins in the same timeframe. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Puntarenas FC vs Inter San Carlos: model vs market
| Source | Puntarenas FC | Draw | Inter San Carlos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Puntarenas FC and Inter San Carlos expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.88
- Attack rating (Puntarenas FC / Inter San Carlos)
- 0.92 / 0.98
- Defence rating (Puntarenas FC / Inter San Carlos)
- 1.25 / 1.18
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Puntarenas FC vs Inter San Carlos score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Puntarenas FC goals. Columns: Inter San Carlos goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Puntarenas FC vs Inter San Carlos goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Puntarenas FC vs Inter San Carlos
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Puntarenas FC | 40% | 2.50 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.69 | |
| Inter San Carlos | 33% | 3.03 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55% | 1.82 |
| Under 2.5 | 45% | 2.22 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.69 |
| No | 41% | 2.46 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Puntarenas FC or draw) | 67% | 1.49 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Inter San Carlos) | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Handicap -1 | Puntarenas FC win by 2+ | 20% | 4.96 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Puntarenas FC and Inter San Carlos recent form
Puntarenas FC
2W 2D 2L
Inter San Carlos
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Puntarenas FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.83
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Inter San Carlos away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-3
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Puntarenas FC at home only, Inter San Carlos away only.
Puntarenas FC vs Inter San Carlos head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Puntarenas FC 0 · draws 1 · Inter San Carlos 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Inter San Carlos | 1-1 | Puntarenas FC | Costa Rica Primera División |
Other Apertura - 13 fixtures
Before and after this match
- Puntarenas FC, previous: Escorpiones Belén vs Puntarenas FC: odds and pick
- Inter San Carlos, previous: Inter San Carlos vs LD Alajuelense prediction