CS Cartagines vs Deportivo Saprissa: model vs market
| Source | CS Cartagines | Draw | Deportivo Saprissa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 25% | 39% |
| Market | 31% | 31% | 39% |
| Published | 32% | 29% | 39% |
| Edge | +6% | -6% | 0% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.
CS Cartagines vs Deportivo Saprissa odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Deportivo Saprissa, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-16.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| CS Cartagines | 2.65 | 3.00 | +0.35 |
| Draw | 3.00 | 2.98 | -0.02 |
| Deportivo Saprissa | 2.58 | 2.37 | -0.22 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
CS Cartagines and Deportivo Saprissa expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.34
- Attack rating (CS Cartagines / Deportivo Saprissa)
- 1.41 / 1.58
- Defence rating (CS Cartagines / Deportivo Saprissa)
- 0.97 / 0.83
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
CS Cartagines vs Deportivo Saprissa score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: CS Cartagines goals. Columns: Deportivo Saprissa goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
CS Cartagines vs Deportivo Saprissa goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 67%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for CS Cartagines vs Deportivo Saprissa
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Cartagines | 32% | 3.12 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.41 | |
| Deportivo Saprissa | 39% | 2.58 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65% | 1.54 |
| Under 2.5 | 35% | 2.85 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67% | 1.49 |
| No | 33% | 3.02 | |
| Double chance | 1X (CS Cartagines or draw) | 61% | 1.63 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| X2 (draw or Deportivo Saprissa) | 68% | 1.47 | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Saprissa win by 2+ | 20% | 4.91 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
CS Cartagines and Deportivo Saprissa recent form
CS Cartagines
4W 0D 2L
Deportivo Saprissa
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
CS Cartagines at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 7 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.7 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Deportivo Saprissa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 8 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: CS Cartagines at home only, Deportivo Saprissa away only.
CS Cartagines vs Deportivo Saprissa head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: CS Cartagines 3 · draws 2 · Deportivo Saprissa 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | CS Cartagines | 3-2 | Deportivo Saprissa | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| 2026-09-10 | Deportivo Saprissa | 2-2 | CS Cartagines | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
| 2026-08-16 | Deportivo Saprissa | 3-2 | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-03-15 | CS Cartagines | 2-1 | Deportivo Saprissa | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2026-01-26 | Deportivo Saprissa | 0-0 | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-12-14 | Deportivo Saprissa | 2-1 | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-12-12 | CS Cartagines | 1-2 | Deportivo Saprissa | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-09-28 | Deportivo Saprissa | 2-1 | CS Cartagines | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-08-10 | CS Cartagines | 3-0 | Deportivo Saprissa | Costa Rica Primera División |
| 2025-07-30 | Deportivo Saprissa | 2-0 | CS Cartagines | CONCACAF Central American Cup |
Other Apertura - 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
- CS Cartagines, previous: CS Cartagines – Puntarenas FC, 2026-10-14
- CS Cartagines, next: CS Herediano v CS Cartagines analysis
- Deportivo Saprissa, previous: Deportivo Saprissa vs Sporting San Jose: odds and pick