Rudes vs Dinamo Zagreb preview
In the upcoming match between Rudes and Dinamo Zagreb, the 1X2 probabilities show Dinamo Zagreb at 53%, while Rudes sits at 26%. The most likely scoreline from our model is 1-2, with an 8% chance. The expected goals indicate Rudes at 1.70 and Dinamo Zagreb at 2.41, suggesting a higher scoring potential for the visitors.
Additionally, there is a strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 78% and both teams to score at 75%. However, the confidence grade is C, which indicates some uncertainty in the predictions. If Rudes can improve their recent form, which includes only 1 win in their last 6 matches, they might challenge the expected outcome.
Rudes vs Dinamo Zagreb: model vs market
| Source | Rudes | Draw | Dinamo Zagreb |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26% | 21% | 53% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 26% | 21% | 53% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.41 vs 1.70.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Rudes and Dinamo Zagreb expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.11
- Attack rating (Rudes / Dinamo Zagreb)
- 0.96 / 1.44
- Defence rating (Rudes / Dinamo Zagreb)
- 1.38 / 1.15
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Rudes vs Dinamo Zagreb score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Rudes goals. Columns: Dinamo Zagreb goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Rudes vs Dinamo Zagreb goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 75%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Rudes vs Dinamo Zagreb
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rudes | 26% | 3.81 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.84 | |
| Dinamo Zagreb | 53% | 1.88 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78% | 1.29 |
| Under 2.5 | 22% | 4.50 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75% | 1.33 |
| No | 25% | 4.00 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Rudes or draw) | 47% | 2.13 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.26 | |
| X2 (draw or Dinamo Zagreb) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dinamo Zagreb win by 2+ | 34% | 2.95 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Rudes and Dinamo Zagreb recent form
Rudes
2W 1D 3L
Dinamo Zagreb
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Rudes at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 3.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dinamo Zagreb away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 2.50
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Rudes at home only, Dinamo Zagreb away only.
Rudes vs Dinamo Zagreb head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Rudes 0 · draws 0 · Dinamo Zagreb 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Dinamo Zagreb | 4-0 | Rudes | HNL |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
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- HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica 2026-10-31
- HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- NK Lokomotiva Zagreb v NK Osijek — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Rudes, previous: NK Osijek vs Rudes prediction
- Dinamo Zagreb, previous: Dinamo Zagreb – HNK Rijeka, 2026-10-27
- Dinamo Zagreb, next: Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: odds and pick