NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Osijek preview
In the HNL fixture between NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and NK Osijek, the 1X2 probabilities show NK Osijek at 37% and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb at 35%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which reflects a 9% chance according to our model. The recent form indicates NK Lokomotiva Zagreb has 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 5 matches, while NK Osijek has 1 win and 2 losses.
Both teams to score stands at 50%, suggesting a balanced chance for both sides to find the net. However, the recent performances and head-to-head results, with 3 draws in the last 5 encounters, could lead to a different outcome. Over 2.5 goals has a 43% likelihood, indicating a potential for a low-scoring match.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Osijek: model vs market
| Source | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | Draw | NK Osijek |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 30% | 33% |
| Market | 34% | 28% | 38% |
| Published | 35% | 28% | 37% |
| Edge | +1% | +1% | -1% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.50, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Osijek odds movement
Median bookmaker price on NK Osijek, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-26.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 2.69 | 2.69 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.30 | 3.30 | +0.00 |
| NK Osijek | 2.43 | 2.43 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and NK Osijek expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.40
- Attack rating (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb / NK Osijek)
- 0.78 / 0.98
- Defence rating (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb / NK Osijek)
- 0.98 / 1.03
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Osijek score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb goals. Columns: NK Osijek goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Osijek goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Osijek
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 35% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 | |
| NK Osijek | 37% | 2.73 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 2.00 |
| No | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Double chance | 1X (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb or draw) | 63% | 1.58 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or NK Osijek) | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Handicap -1 | NK Osijek win by 2+ | 14% | 7.07 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and NK Osijek recent form
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1W 2D 3L
NK Osijek
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
NK Osijek away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb at home only, NK Osijek away only.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs NK Osijek head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1 · draws 3 · NK Osijek 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | NK Osijek | 1-0 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | HNL |
| 2026-04-25 | NK Osijek | 0-0 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | HNL |
| 2026-02-21 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 3-1 | NK Osijek | HNL |
| 2025-11-23 | NK Osijek | 1-1 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | HNL |
| 2025-08-31 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1-1 | NK Osijek | HNL |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- NK Slaven Belupo vs Istra 1961 — team news & stats 2026-10-30
- HNK Hajduk Split vs HNK Gorica 2026-10-31
- Rudes vs Dinamo Zagreb 2026-10-31
- HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, previous: HNK Gorica vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb: odds and pick
- NK Osijek, previous: NK Osijek vs Rudes prediction