Anorthosis vs Pafos Prediction & Betting Tips 11/10/2026

Anorthosis vs Pafos: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
Source	Anorthosis	Draw	Pafos
Model	33%	30%	37%
Market	14%	22%	64%
Published	19%	24%	57%
Edge	+19%	+8%	-26%

Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.47, recorded 2026-10-06 — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.

Anorthosis vs Pafos odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Pafos, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-05.

Opened 1.44Now 1.44 +0.00

Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
Selection	First	Latest	Move
Anorthosis	6.50	6.50	+0.00
Draw	4.20	4.20	+0.00
Pafos	1.44	1.44	+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Anorthosis and Pafos expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.20Anorthosis

1.29Pafos

Total expected goals: 2.50
Attack rating (Anorthosis / Pafos): 0.97 / 1.02
Defence rating (Anorthosis / Pafos): 1.06 / 0.84

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Anorthosis vs Pafos score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 9.5% 9.4% 6.9% 3.0% 1.3% 1 8.6% 14.1% 8.3% 3.6% 1.5% 2 5.9% 7.7% 5.0% 2.2% 0.9% 3 2.4% 3.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.4% 4+ 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Rows: Anorthosis goals. Columns: Pafos goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Anorthosis vs Pafos goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 90%

Over 1.5 72%

Over 2.5 46%

Over 3.5 24%

Both teams to score: 52%
No goals (0–0): 10%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Anorthosis vs Pafos

Published probability and fair odds per market
Market	Selection	Probability	Fair odds
1X2	Anorthosis	19%	5.30
	Draw	24%	4.20
	Pafos	57%	1.75
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	46%	2.20
	Under 2.5	54%	1.84
Both teams to score	Yes	52%	1.92
	No	48%	2.09
Double chance	1X (Anorthosis or draw)	43%	2.34
	12 (either side)	76%	1.31
	X2 (draw or Pafos)	81%	1.23
Handicap -1	Pafos win by 2+	17%	5.78
	Push (exactly one goal)	20%	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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