Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Praha preview
In the Czech Liga match between Bohemians 1905 and Sparta Praha, the 1X2 probabilities show Sparta Praha at 46%, while Bohemians 1905 sits at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a probability of 11%. This suggests a close contest, but the recent form of both teams indicates that Sparta Praha has a slight edge with two wins in their last three matches.
While there is a 51% chance for both teams to score, the expected goals are 1.06 for Bohemians 1905 and 1.47 for Sparta Praha. If Bohemians can improve their attacking efficiency, they might challenge the predicted outcome. However, their recent form shows inconsistency, which could affect their performance in this match.
Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Praha: model vs market
| Source | Bohemians 1905 | Draw | Sparta Praha |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26% | 29% | 46% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 26% | 29% | 46% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 1.06.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Bohemians 1905 and Sparta Praha expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.53
- Attack rating (Bohemians 1905 / Sparta Praha)
- 0.98 / 1.35
- Defence rating (Bohemians 1905 / Sparta Praha)
- 0.89 / 0.75
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Praha score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Bohemians 1905 goals. Columns: Sparta Praha goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Praha goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Praha
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bohemians 1905 | 26% | 3.86 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.49 | |
| Sparta Praha | 46% | 2.20 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.16 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.94 |
| No | 49% | 2.06 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Bohemians 1905 or draw) | 54% | 1.84 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Sparta Praha) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sparta Praha win by 2+ | 23% | 4.32 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Bohemians 1905 and Sparta Praha recent form
Bohemians 1905
3W 1D 2L
Sparta Praha
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Bohemians 1905 at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-0
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.20
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sparta Praha away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-3
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Bohemians 1905 at home only, Sparta Praha away only.
Bohemians 1905 vs Sparta Praha head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Bohemians 1905 1 · draws 0 · Sparta Praha 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Bohemians 1905 | 2-0 | Sparta Praha | Czech Liga |
| 2025-10-28 | Sparta Praha | 2-1 | Bohemians 1905 | Czech Liga |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- FK Jablonec v Slavia Praha — match page 2026-10-31
- Slovácko vs Teplice — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Pardubice vs Slovan Liberec 2026-10-31
- Artis v Zlin — match page 2026-10-31
- Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Mlada Boleslav vs Hradec Králové 2026-11-01
- Baník Ostrava vs Plzen 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Bohemians 1905, previous: Zbrojovka Brno – Bohemians 1905, 2026-10-24
- Sparta Praha, previous: Sparta Praha – Slovácko, 2026-10-25
- Sparta Praha, next: Sparta Praha – Bournemouth, 2026-11-05