Pardubice vs Slovan Liberec preview
In the match between Pardubice and Slovan Liberec, the 1X2 probabilities show Slovan Liberec at 38%, while Pardubice sits at 33%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with an 11% chance according to our model. This suggests a narrow victory for Slovan Liberec, who have won both of their last two encounters against Pardubice.
However, the match could take a different turn. Pardubice's recent form includes 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while Slovan Liberec has also shown strength with 4 wins in their last 6. The expected goals are close, with Pardubice at 1.06 and Slovan Liberec at 0.95, indicating that both teams have the potential to score. Additionally, there is a 42% chance for both teams to score, which could change the outcome.
Pardubice vs Slovan Liberec: model vs market
| Source | Pardubice | Draw | Slovan Liberec |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 33% | 31% |
| Market | 32% | 27% | 41% |
| Published | 33% | 29% | 38% |
| Edge | +1% | +2% | -3% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.32, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -11.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Pardubice vs Slovan Liberec odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Slovan Liberec, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pardubice | 2.90 | 2.90 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.44 | 3.42 | -0.02 |
| Slovan Liberec | 2.30 | 2.30 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Pardubice and Slovan Liberec expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.01
- Attack rating (Pardubice / Slovan Liberec)
- 1.04 / 0.78
- Defence rating (Pardubice / Slovan Liberec)
- 0.99 / 0.72
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Pardubice vs Slovan Liberec score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Pardubice goals. Columns: Slovan Liberec goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Pardubice vs Slovan Liberec goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 15%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Pardubice vs Slovan Liberec
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pardubice | 33% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.47 | |
| Slovan Liberec | 38% | 2.63 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33% | 3.06 |
| Under 2.5 | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.41 |
| No | 58% | 1.71 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Pardubice or draw) | 62% | 1.61 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Slovan Liberec) | 67% | 1.50 | |
| Handicap -1 | Slovan Liberec win by 2+ | 12% | 8.67 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Pardubice and Slovan Liberec recent form
Pardubice
4W 1D 1L
Slovan Liberec
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Pardubice at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
Slovan Liberec away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 0.50
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Pardubice at home only, Slovan Liberec away only.
Pardubice vs Slovan Liberec head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Pardubice 0 · draws 0 · Slovan Liberec 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | Pardubice | 0-4 | Slovan Liberec | Czech Liga |
| 2025-07-27 | Slovan Liberec | 2-1 | Pardubice | Czech Liga |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- FK Jablonec v Slavia Praha — match page 2026-10-31
- Slovácko vs Teplice — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Artis v Zlin — match page 2026-10-31
- Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Mlada Boleslav vs Hradec Králové 2026-11-01
- Baník Ostrava vs Plzen 2026-11-01
- Bohemians 1905 v Sparta Praha — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Pardubice, previous: Plzen vs Pardubice: odds and pick
- Slovan Liberec, previous: Slovan Liberec v Baník Ostrava analysis