Slovácko vs Teplice preview
In the match between Slovácko and Teplice, the probabilities show Teplice at 37% to win and Slovácko at 35%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, with Teplice having an expected goals figure of 1.62 compared to Slovácko's 1.12.
Both teams to score stands at 55%, suggesting a good chance for goals from both sides. However, Slovácko's recent form, with 2 losses in their last 3 matches, could impact their performance. Teplice's form includes a win, which might give them the edge. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Slovácko vs Teplice: model vs market
| Source | Slovácko | Draw | Teplice |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25% | 27% | 48% |
| Market | 38% | 29% | 33% |
| Published | 35% | 29% | 37% |
| Edge | -3% | -1% | +4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 1.12.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Teplice below our published probability: +3.8 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.95, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +8.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Slovácko vs Teplice odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Teplice, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slovácko | 2.40 | 2.44 | +0.04 |
| Draw | 3.36 | 3.18 | -0.18 |
| Teplice | 2.75 | 2.82 | +0.07 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Slovácko and Teplice expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.74
- Attack rating (Slovácko / Teplice)
- 0.89 / 1.01
- Defence rating (Slovácko / Teplice)
- 1.30 / 0.89
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Slovácko vs Teplice score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Slovácko goals. Columns: Teplice goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Slovácko vs Teplice goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Slovácko vs Teplice
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slovácko | 35% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.50 | |
| Teplice | 37% | 2.73 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52% | 1.93 |
| Under 2.5 | 48% | 2.07 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.81 |
| No | 45% | 2.24 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Slovácko or draw) | 63% | 1.58 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Teplice) | 65% | 1.53 | |
| Handicap -1 | Teplice win by 2+ | 26% | 3.89 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Slovácko and Teplice recent form
Slovácko
1W 2D 3L
Teplice
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Slovácko at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Teplice away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-2
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Slovácko at home only, Teplice away only.
Slovácko vs Teplice head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Slovácko 1 · draws 1 · Teplice 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Teplice | 1-1 | Slovácko | Czech Liga |
| 2025-12-13 | Teplice | 1-0 | Slovácko | Czech Liga |
| 2025-08-16 | Slovácko | 2-1 | Teplice | Czech Liga |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- FK Jablonec v Slavia Praha — match page 2026-10-31
- Pardubice vs Slovan Liberec 2026-10-31
- Artis v Zlin — match page 2026-10-31
- Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Mlada Boleslav vs Hradec Králové 2026-11-01
- Baník Ostrava vs Plzen 2026-11-01
- Bohemians 1905 v Sparta Praha — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Slovácko, previous: Sparta Praha – Slovácko, 2026-10-25
- Teplice, previous: Teplice vs Artis: odds and pick