Updated

Czech Liga · Matchday 14

Zlin vs Slovácko

· Stadion Letna, Zlin

Alin prediction Zlin to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
ZlinDrawSlovácko
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Zlin is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Zlin2.65 Draw3.32 Slovácko2.75

Price as of

Expected return at 2.65: -2.2% per unit staked

Zlin vs Slovácko preview

In the Czech Liga fixture between Zlin and Slovácko, the 1X2 probabilities show Zlin at 37%, Slovácko at 36%, and a draw at 27%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, which occurs at an 8% chance. With expected goals at 1.46 for Zlin and 1.45 for Slovácko, this match could see Over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams to score at 60%.

However, recent form indicates Zlin's struggles with three losses in their last six matches, while Slovácko has also faced challenges, winning just once in their last six games. This inconsistent performance could impact the predicted outcomes, making the match less predictable despite the statistical forecasts.

Zlin vs Slovácko: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceZlinDrawSlovácko
Model37%27%36%
Market37%28%35%
Published37%28%35%
Edge0%0%0%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.65, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Zlin vs Slovácko odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Zlin, 6 snapshots since 2026-11-01.

Opened 2.53Now 2.50 -0.03
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Zlin2.532.50-0.03
Draw3.293.27-0.02
Slovácko2.702.67-0.03

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Zlin and Slovácko expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.46Zlin
1.45Slovácko
Total expected goals
2.91
Attack rating (Zlin / Slovácko)
0.74 / 0.89
Defence rating (Zlin / Slovácko)
1.30 / 1.38

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Zlin vs Slovácko score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.6% 6.7% 5.7% 2.8% 1.4% 1 6.8% 12.7% 8.4% 4.1% 2.0% 2 5.8% 8.4% 6.1% 3.0% 1.5% 3 2.8% 4.1% 3.0% 1.4% 0.7% 4+ 1.4% 2.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.4%

Rows: Zlin goals. Columns: Slovácko goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Zlin vs Slovácko goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 56%
Over 3.5 33%
Both teams to score
60%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Zlin vs Slovácko

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Zlin37%2.71
Draw28%3.57
Slovácko35%2.85
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556%1.80
Under 2.544%2.26
Both teams to scoreYes60%1.67
No40%2.50
Double chance1X (Zlin or draw)65%1.54
12 (either side)72%1.39
X2 (draw or Slovácko)63%1.59
Handicap -1Zlin win by 2+18%5.59
Push (exactly one goal)19%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Zlin and Slovácko recent form

Zlin 0W 3D 3L
Slovácko 1W 1D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Zlin at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-6
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.43
Goals against / match
1.57
Clean sheets
0 of 7
  • They have won 0 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Slovácko away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-5
Win rate
14%
Goals for / match
0.86
Goals against / match
2.29
Clean sheets
1 of 7
  • They have won 1 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
  • 48% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Zlin at home only, Slovácko away only.

Zlin vs Slovácko head-to-head

Last 3 meetings: Zlin 1 · draws 1 · Slovácko 1.

ZlinDrawsSlovácko
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-23Zlin1-0SlováckoCzech Liga
2025-11-23Slovácko2-0ZlinCzech Liga
2025-07-26Zlin1-1SlováckoCzech Liga

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Zlin to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Zlin