Hradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc preview
In the Czech Liga fixture between Hradec Králové and Sigma Olomouc, the 1X2 probabilities show Sigma Olomouc at 40%, while Hradec Králové stands at 34%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, which aligns with Sigma's expected goals of 1.88 compared to Hradec's 0.85.
Both teams to score has a 50% chance, and Over 2.5 goals is at 51%. Hradec Králové's recent form includes 4 losses in their last 5 matches, while Sigma Olomouc has won 3 of their last 5. If Hradec can improve their attacking output, it could impact the expected outcome.
Hradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc: model vs market
| Source | Hradec Králové | Draw | Sigma Olomouc |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15% | 24% | 61% |
| Market | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Published | 34% | 26% | 40% |
| Edge | -6% | -1% | +7% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.88 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Sigma Olomouc below our published probability: +6.9 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.90, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +15.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Hradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Sigma Olomouc, 6 snapshots since 2026-11-01.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hradec Králové | 2.30 | 2.30 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.42 | +0.02 |
| Sigma Olomouc | 2.95 | 2.81 | -0.14 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Hradec Králové and Sigma Olomouc expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.73
- Attack rating (Hradec Králové / Sigma Olomouc)
- 0.74 / 1.25
- Defence rating (Hradec Králové / Sigma Olomouc)
- 1.20 / 0.81
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Hradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Hradec Králové goals. Columns: Sigma Olomouc goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Hradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Hradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hradec Králové | 34% | 2.95 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 | |
| Sigma Olomouc | 40% | 2.51 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 2.05 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 2.02 |
| No | 50% | 1.98 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Hradec Králové or draw) | 60% | 1.66 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Sigma Olomouc) | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sigma Olomouc win by 2+ | 37% | 2.73 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Hradec Králové and Sigma Olomouc recent form
Hradec Králové
1W 1D 4L
Sigma Olomouc
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Hradec Králové at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-3
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.29
- Goals against / match
- 1.57
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sigma Olomouc away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-2
- Win rate
- 43%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 1.29
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 7
- They have won 6 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Hradec Králové at home only, Sigma Olomouc away only.
Hradec Králové vs Sigma Olomouc head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Hradec Králové 1 · draws 0 · Sigma Olomouc 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Sigma Olomouc | 1-0 | Hradec Králové | Czech Liga |
| 2025-08-24 | Hradec Králové | 1-0 | Sigma Olomouc | Czech Liga |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Zlin v Slovácko — match page 2026-11-07
- Slovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Zbrojovka Brno vs Baník Ostrava 2026-11-07
- Teplice v Pardubice — match page 2026-11-08
- Slavia Praha vs Artis — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- FK Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav 2026-11-08
- Plzen vs Sparta Praha 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Hradec Králové, previous: Mlada Boleslav v Hradec Králové analysis
- Sigma Olomouc, previous: Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno prediction