Updated

Czech Liga · Matchday 14

Slovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905

· Stadion U Nisy, Liberec

Alin prediction Slovan Liberec to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

16% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Slovan LiberecDrawBohemians 1905
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Slovan Liberec is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Slovan Liberec1.64 Draw3.94 Bohemians 19055.60

Price as of

Expected return at 1.64: -12.3% per unit staked

Slovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 preview

In the Czech Liga match between Slovan Liberec and Bohemians 1905, the 1X2 probabilities show Slovan Liberec at 39%, a draw at 34%, and Bohemians 1905 at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 14% chance. Slovan Liberec has an expected goals figure of 1.08, while Bohemians 1905 sits at 0.87.

While both teams to score stands at 40%, the recent form indicates a mixed performance, with Slovan Liberec winning 4 of their last 6 games and Bohemians 1905 winning 3 of their last 6. The confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome. If Bohemians 1905 improves their scoring, it could challenge the expected result.

Slovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceSlovan LiberecDrawBohemians 1905
Model38%35%26%
Market59%24%17%
Published53%27%20%
Edge-5%+3%+2%

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.64, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Slovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Slovan Liberec, 6 snapshots since 2026-11-01.

Opened 1.60Now 1.60 +0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Slovan Liberec1.601.60+0.00
Draw3.903.90+0.00
Bohemians 19055.385.35-0.03

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Slovan Liberec and Bohemians 1905 expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.01Slovan Liberec
0.78Bohemians 1905
Total expected goals
1.79
Attack rating (Slovan Liberec / Bohemians 1905)
0.87 / 0.88
Defence rating (Slovan Liberec / Bohemians 1905)
0.71 / 0.82

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Slovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 18.0% 11.8% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 1 15.5% 14.5% 5.1% 1.3% 0.3% 2 8.5% 6.6% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 3 2.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 4+ 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Slovan Liberec goals. Columns: Bohemians 1905 goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Slovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 82%
Over 1.5 55%
Over 2.5 27%
Over 3.5 11%
Both teams to score
36%
No goals (0–0)
18%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Slovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Slovan Liberec53%1.87
Draw27%3.73
Bohemians 190520%5.09
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.527%3.76
Under 2.573%1.36
Both teams to scoreYes36%2.80
No64%1.56
Double chance1X (Slovan Liberec or draw)80%1.24
12 (either side)73%1.37
X2 (draw or Bohemians 1905)47%2.15
Handicap -1Slovan Liberec win by 2+15%6.49
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Slovan Liberec and Bohemians 1905 recent form

Slovan Liberec 3W 1D 2L
Bohemians 1905 3W 2D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Slovan Liberec at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
1.20
Goals against / match
0.80
Clean sheets
2 of 5
  • They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Bohemians 1905 away

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-3
Win rate
17%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
1 of 6
  • They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Slovan Liberec at home only, Bohemians 1905 away only.

Slovan Liberec vs Bohemians 1905 head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Slovan Liberec 0 · draws 2 · Bohemians 1905 0.

Slovan LiberecDrawsBohemians 1905
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-07Bohemians 19050-0Slovan LiberecCzech Liga
2025-10-04Slovan Liberec0-0Bohemians 1905Czech Liga

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Slovan Liberec to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on Slovan Liberec