Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno preview
In the upcoming match between Sigma Olomouc and Zbrojovka Brno, the 1X2 probabilities show Sigma Olomouc at 48%, while Zbrojovka Brno sits at 25%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with a 10% chance. Sigma Olomouc has an expected goals figure of 1.66 compared to Zbrojovka Brno's 1.14, suggesting a stronger attacking performance.
However, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty. Both teams to score has a probability of 56%, and Over 2.5 goals stands at 53%. A lack of scoring from Zbrojovka Brno could lead to a different outcome than predicted, especially if they struggle to convert chances.
Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno: model vs market
| Source | Sigma Olomouc | Draw | Zbrojovka Brno |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 27% | 25% |
| Market | 51% | 25% | 24% |
| Published | 50% | 26% | 24% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 1.14.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.85, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Sigma Olomouc, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sigma Olomouc | 1.85 | 1.85 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.70 | 3.70 | +0.00 |
| Zbrojovka Brno | 3.90 | 3.90 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Sigma Olomouc and Zbrojovka Brno expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.79
- Attack rating (Sigma Olomouc / Zbrojovka Brno)
- 1.15 / 1.02
- Defence rating (Sigma Olomouc / Zbrojovka Brno)
- 0.90 / 1.01
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Sigma Olomouc goals. Columns: Zbrojovka Brno goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sigma Olomouc | 50% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.90 | |
| Zbrojovka Brno | 24% | 4.12 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.89 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.12 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.78 |
| No | 44% | 2.28 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Sigma Olomouc or draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Zbrojovka Brno) | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sigma Olomouc win by 2+ | 26% | 3.80 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Sigma Olomouc and Zbrojovka Brno recent form
Sigma Olomouc
3W 2D 1L
Zbrojovka Brno
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Sigma Olomouc at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Zbrojovka Brno away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-2
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Sigma Olomouc at home only, Zbrojovka Brno away only.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- FK Jablonec v Slavia Praha — match page 2026-10-31
- Slovácko vs Teplice — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Pardubice vs Slovan Liberec 2026-10-31
- Artis v Zlin — match page 2026-10-31
- Mlada Boleslav vs Hradec Králové 2026-11-01
- Baník Ostrava vs Plzen 2026-11-01
- Bohemians 1905 v Sparta Praha — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Sigma Olomouc, previous: Zlin vs Sigma Olomouc prediction
- Zbrojovka Brno, previous: Zbrojovka Brno – Bohemians 1905, 2026-10-24