FK Jablonec vs Slavia Praha preview
In the Czech Liga match between FK Jablonec and Slavia Praha, the 1X2 probabilities show Slavia Praha at 47% to win, compared to FK Jablonec's 24%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which aligns with Slavia Praha's expected goals of 1.48 against FK Jablonec's 0.99.
However, the match could deviate from this prediction. Both teams to score stands at 50%, indicating a reasonable chance for FK Jablonec to find the net. Additionally, Slavia Praha's recent form includes three wins in their last five matches, while FK Jablonec has struggled with only one win in the same period. This could impact the outcome significantly.
FK Jablonec vs Slavia Praha: model vs market
| Source | FK Jablonec | Draw | Slavia Praha |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28% | 29% | 43% |
| Market | 24% | 25% | 51% |
| Published | 25% | 26% | 49% |
| Edge | +1% | +1% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 1.07.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.85, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
FK Jablonec vs Slavia Praha odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Slavia Praha, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-25.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| FK Jablonec | 3.79 | 3.85 | +0.06 |
| Draw | 3.76 | 3.76 | -0.00 |
| Slavia Praha | 1.82 | 1.81 | -0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
FK Jablonec and Slavia Praha expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.46
- Attack rating (FK Jablonec / Slavia Praha)
- 0.94 / 1.19
- Defence rating (FK Jablonec / Slavia Praha)
- 0.94 / 0.81
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FK Jablonec vs Slavia Praha score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FK Jablonec goals. Columns: Slavia Praha goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FK Jablonec vs Slavia Praha goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FK Jablonec vs Slavia Praha
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FK Jablonec | 25% | 4.00 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.87 | |
| Slavia Praha | 49% | 2.03 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45% | 2.24 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.97 |
| No | 49% | 2.03 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FK Jablonec or draw) | 51% | 1.97 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Slavia Praha) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| Handicap -1 | Slavia Praha win by 2+ | 21% | 4.75 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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FK Jablonec and Slavia Praha recent form
FK Jablonec
2W 2D 2L
Slavia Praha
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FK Jablonec at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Slavia Praha away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-0
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 2.20
- Goals against / match
- 0.20
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 5
- They have won 8 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: FK Jablonec at home only, Slavia Praha away only.
FK Jablonec vs Slavia Praha head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: FK Jablonec 0 · draws 1 · Slavia Praha 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Slavia Praha | 5-1 | FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| 2025-12-13 | Slavia Praha | 4-3 | FK Jablonec | Czech Liga |
| 2025-08-16 | FK Jablonec | 1-1 | Slavia Praha | Czech Liga |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
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- Artis v Zlin — match page 2026-10-31
- Sigma Olomouc vs Zbrojovka Brno — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Mlada Boleslav vs Hradec Králové 2026-11-01
- Baník Ostrava vs Plzen 2026-11-01
- Bohemians 1905 v Sparta Praha — match page 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- FK Jablonec, previous: Hradec Králové vs FK Jablonec prediction
- FK Jablonec, next: Riga vs FK Jablonec prediction
- Slavia Praha, previous: Slavia Praha v Mlada Boleslav analysis
- Slavia Praha, next: Slavia Praha vs Arsenal: odds and pick