Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Viktoria Žižkov preview
Arsenal Česká Lípa hosts Viktoria Žižkov with a 41% chance of winning according to the model. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which reflects Arsenal's expected goals of 1.68 compared to Viktoria's 1.10. However, Arsenal's recent form shows inconsistency with two losses in their last six matches, which could impact their performance.
The market suggests a 53% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 55% probability for both teams to score. Viktoria's recent form includes three wins in their last six matches, which might challenge Arsenal's defense. The confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Viktoria Žižkov: model vs market
| Source | Arsenal Česká Lípa | Draw | Viktoria Žižkov |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 26% | 24% |
| Market | 38% | 26% | 35% |
| Published | 41% | 26% | 32% |
| Edge | +12% | 0% | -12% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 1.10.
- The market prices Arsenal Česká Lípa below the model: +11.5 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.40, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.
Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Viktoria Žižkov odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Arsenal Česká Lípa, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-06.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal Česká Lípa | 2.37 | 2.37 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.44 | 3.44 | +0.00 |
| Viktoria Žižkov | 2.56 | 2.56 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Arsenal Česká Lípa and Viktoria Žižkov expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.78
- Attack rating (Arsenal Česká Lípa / Viktoria Žižkov)
- 0.84 / 0.80
- Defence rating (Arsenal Česká Lípa / Viktoria Žižkov)
- 1.14 / 1.29
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Viktoria Žižkov score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Arsenal Česká Lípa goals. Columns: Viktoria Žižkov goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Viktoria Žižkov goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Viktoria Žižkov
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Arsenal Česká Lípa | 41% | 2.43 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 | |
| Viktoria Žižkov | 32% | 3.08 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.11 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.80 |
| No | 45% | 2.24 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Arsenal Česká Lípa or draw) | 68% | 1.48 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Viktoria Žižkov) | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Handicap -1 | Arsenal Česká Lípa win by 2+ | 27% | 3.64 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Arsenal Česká Lípa and Viktoria Žižkov recent form
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2W 1D 3L
Viktoria Žižkov
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Arsenal Česká Lípa at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Viktoria Žižkov away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-4
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.40
- Goals against / match
- 2.20
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Arsenal Česká Lípa at home only, Viktoria Žižkov away only.
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