Táborsko vs Karviná preview
Táborsko faces Karviná with a 31% chance of winning, while Karviná has a 43% probability to take the match. The model suggests a likely scoreline of 1-2, with both teams expected to score, as indicated by the 71% chance for "both teams to score."
The data also shows a strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 70%. However, Táborsko's recent form includes two draws and two losses, which could impact their performance. Karviná has been more consistent, winning four of their last six matches. The confidence grade is C, meaning the probabilities are mixed with market odds, leaving room for unexpected outcomes.
Táborsko vs Karviná: model vs market
| Source | Táborsko | Draw | Karviná |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34% | 24% | 42% |
| Market | 30% | 27% | 43% |
| Published | 31% | 26% | 43% |
| Edge | +4% | -3% | -1% |
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.15, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.
Táborsko vs Karviná odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Karviná, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Táborsko | 2.78 | 3.00 | +0.22 |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.34 | -0.26 |
| Karviná | 2.22 | 2.05 | -0.17 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Táborsko and Karviná expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.61
- Attack rating (Táborsko / Karviná)
- 0.95 / 1.32
- Defence rating (Táborsko / Karviná)
- 1.20 / 1.15
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Táborsko vs Karviná score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Táborsko goals. Columns: Karviná goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Táborsko vs Karviná goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 71%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Táborsko vs Karviná
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Táborsko | 31% | 3.24 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.85 | |
| Karviná | 43% | 2.32 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 3.33 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71% | 1.42 |
| No | 29% | 3.40 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Táborsko or draw) | 57% | 1.76 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Karviná) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Handicap -1 | Karviná win by 2+ | 24% | 4.23 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Táborsko and Karviná recent form
Táborsko
2W 2D 2L
Karviná
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Táborsko at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Karviná away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-3
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Táborsko at home only, Karviná away only.
Táborsko vs Karviná head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Táborsko 1 · draws 0 · Karviná 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-23 | Táborsko | 1-6 | Karviná | Cup |
| 2023-04-02 | Táborsko | 2-3 | Karviná | FNL |
| 2022-08-31 | Karviná | 0-1 | Táborsko | FNL |
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