FNL · Matchday 10

Slavia Praha II vs Vlašim

· Stadium Viktoria Zizkov, Prague

Alin prediction Slavia Praha II to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Slavia Praha IIDrawVlašim
Best market odds
Slavia Praha II2.12 Draw3.80 Vlašim3.00
Bet on Slavia Praha II

Slavia Praha II vs Vlašim preview

In the upcoming match between Slavia Praha II and Vlašim, the model gives Slavia Praha II a 44% chance to win, while Vlašim has a 32% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which reflects the expected goals of 2.11 for Slavia Praha II and 1.86 for Vlašim. The market indicates a strong possibility for Over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams to score at 75%.

However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty. Recent form shows Slavia Praha II with two losses followed by a win, while Vlašim has mixed results with two wins in their last six matches. This variability could impact the final outcome.

Slavia Praha II vs Vlašim: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceSlavia Praha IIDrawVlašim
Model44%22%34%
Market44%25%31%
Published44%24%32%
Edge0%-3%+3%

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.12, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.

Slavia Praha II vs Vlašim odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Slavia Praha II, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-04.

Opened 2.22Now 2.08 -0.14
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Slavia Praha II2.222.08-0.14
Draw3.403.60+0.20
Vlašim2.892.88-0.01

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Slavia Praha II and Vlašim expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.11Slavia Praha II
1.86Vlašim
Total expected goals
3.97
Attack rating (Slavia Praha II / Vlašim)
1.24 / 1.22
Defence rating (Slavia Praha II / Vlašim)
1.26 / 1.09

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Slavia Praha II vs Vlašim score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 2.6% 2.8% 3.3% 2.0% 1.4% 1 3.3% 8.2% 6.9% 4.3% 3.0% 2 4.2% 7.8% 7.3% 4.5% 3.2% 3 3.0% 5.5% 5.1% 3.2% 2.2% 4+ 2.5% 4.7% 4.4% 2.7% 1.9%

Rows: Slavia Praha II goals. Columns: Vlašim goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Slavia Praha II vs Vlašim goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 97%
Over 1.5 91%
Over 2.5 76%
Over 3.5 56%
Both teams to score
75%
No goals (0–0)
3%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Slavia Praha II vs Vlašim

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Slavia Praha II44%2.30
Draw24%4.10
Vlašim32%3.12
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576%1.32
Under 2.524%4.12
Both teams to scoreYes75%1.34
No25%3.98
Double chance1X (Slavia Praha II or draw)68%1.47
12 (either side)76%1.32
X2 (draw or Vlašim)56%1.77
Handicap -1Slavia Praha II win by 2+26%3.91
Push (exactly one goal)18%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Slavia Praha II and Vlašim recent form

Slavia Praha II 2W 2D 2L
Vlašim 2W 2D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Slavia Praha II at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
2.40
Goals against / match
1.80
Clean sheets
0 of 5
  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Vlašim away

Record (W-D-L)
0-2-3
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.80
Clean sheets
0 of 5
  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

League matches this season before kick-off: Slavia Praha II at home only, Vlašim away only.

Slavia Praha II vs Vlašim head-to-head

Last 6 meetings: Slavia Praha II 2 · draws 3 · Vlašim 1.

Slavia Praha IIDrawsVlašim
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-05-23Slavia Praha II3-2VlašimFNL
2025-07-18Vlašim0-1Slavia Praha IIFNL
2025-04-16Slavia Praha II1-1VlašimFNL
2024-10-02Vlašim2-2Slavia Praha IIFNL
2023-04-19Slavia Praha II1-1VlašimFNL
2022-09-18Vlašim3-1Slavia Praha IIFNL

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Prediction snapshot Slavia Praha II to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Slavia Praha II