Hanácká vs Příbram: model vs market
| Source | Hanácká | Draw | Příbram |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35% | 26% | 38% |
| Market | 32% | 27% | 41% |
| Published | 33% | 27% | 40% |
| Edge | +4% | -1% | -3% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.45, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update.
Hanácká vs Příbram odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Příbram, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-05.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hanácká | 2.55 | 2.85 | +0.30 |
| Draw | 3.20 | 3.30 | +0.10 |
| Příbram | 2.55 | 2.19 | -0.36 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Hanácká and Příbram expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.08
- Attack rating (Hanácká / Příbram)
- 0.93 / 1.03
- Defence rating (Hanácká / Příbram)
- 1.27 / 1.03
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Hanácká vs Příbram score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Hanácká goals. Columns: Příbram goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Hanácká vs Příbram goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 63%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Hanácká vs Příbram
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hanácká | 33% | 3.07 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.71 | |
| Příbram | 40% | 2.47 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.68 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.46 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 1.59 |
| No | 37% | 2.68 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Hanácká or draw) | 60% | 1.68 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Příbram) | 67% | 1.48 | |
| Handicap -1 | Příbram win by 2+ | 20% | 5.10 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Hanácká and Příbram recent form
Hanácká
1W 2D 3L
Příbram
1W 4D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Hanácká at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.80
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Příbram away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-4-0
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Hanácká at home only, Příbram away only.
Hanácká vs Příbram head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Hanácká 1 · draws 0 · Příbram 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | Příbram | 0-2 | Hanácká | FNL |
| 2025-08-30 | Hanácká | 1-2 | Příbram | FNL |
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