Příbram vs Třinec preview
In the upcoming match between Příbram and Třinec, the 1X2 probabilities show Příbram at 59%, while Třinec sits at 18%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, occurring at a rate of 10%. Příbram has an expected goals figure of 2.11, compared to Třinec's 1.11, indicating a stronger attacking performance.
However, Příbram's recent form includes three draws and a loss, which could affect their ability to secure a win. Třinec, on the other hand, has a mix of results with two wins and three losses in their last six matches. The probabilities for Over 2.5 goals stand at 63%, with both teams to score at 60%, suggesting potential for a high-scoring game.
Příbram vs Třinec: model vs market
| Source | Příbram | Draw | Třinec |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.12.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Příbram and Třinec expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.22
- Attack rating (Příbram / Třinec)
- 1.03 / 0.89
- Defence rating (Příbram / Třinec)
- 1.03 / 1.32
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Příbram vs Třinec score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Příbram goals. Columns: Třinec goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Příbram vs Třinec goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Příbram vs Třinec
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Příbram | 59% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.44 | |
| Třinec | 19% | 5.36 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.66 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.66 |
| No | 40% | 2.50 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Příbram or draw) | 81% | 1.23 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or Třinec) | 41% | 2.43 | |
| Handicap -1 | Příbram win by 2+ | 37% | 2.72 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Příbram and Třinec recent form
Příbram
1W 4D 1L
Třinec
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Příbram at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Třinec away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 2.20
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Příbram at home only, Třinec away only.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II 2026-10-16
- Karviná vs Dukla Praha 2026-10-16
- Opava v Vysočina Jihlava — match page 2026-10-16
- Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem 2026-10-16
- Vlašim v Hanácká — match page 2026-10-16
Before and after this match
- Příbram, previous: Hanácká vs Příbram: odds and pick
- Třinec, previous: Třinec vs Kladno prediction