Updated

FNL · Matchday 11

Vlašim vs Hanácká

· Stadion v Kollarove ulici, Vlasim

Alin prediction Vlašim to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
VlašimDrawHanácká

Vlašim vs Hanácká preview

In the upcoming match between Vlašim and Hanácká, the 1X2 probabilities show Vlašim at 63%, while Hanácká sits at 17%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance according to our model. Vlašim has an expected goals figure of 2.42 compared to Hanácká's 1.23, indicating a strong attacking performance from the home side.

The chances for Over 2.5 goals are at 71%, and both teams to score is at 65%. However, the recent form of both teams could impact the outcome; Vlašim has W-L-W-L-D-D in their last six matches, while Hanácká has L-D-D-W-L-L. This inconsistency could lead to unexpected results.

Vlašim vs Hanácká: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceVlašimDrawHanácká
Model66%19%15%
Market———
Published66%19%15%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.45 vs 1.13.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Vlašim and Hanácká expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.45Vlašim
1.13Hanácká
Total expected goals
3.58
Attack rating (Vlašim / Hanácká)
1.25 / 0.93
Defence rating (Vlašim / Hanácká)
0.99 / 1.27

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Vlašim vs Hanácká score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 3.6% 2.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 1 6.1% 8.5% 4.3% 1.6% 0.6% 2 8.4% 9.5% 5.3% 2.0% 0.7% 3 6.8% 7.7% 4.4% 1.6% 0.6% 4+ 7.5% 8.5% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6%

Rows: Vlašim goals. Columns: Hanácká goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Vlašim vs Hanácká goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%
Over 1.5 88%
Over 2.5 69%
Over 3.5 48%
Both teams to score
63%
No goals (0–0)
4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Vlašim vs Hanácká

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Vlašim66%1.52
Draw19%5.18
Hanácká15%6.66
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.569%1.44
Under 2.531%3.27
Both teams to scoreYes63%1.60
No37%2.67
Double chance1X (Vlašim or draw)85%1.18
12 (either side)81%1.24
X2 (draw or Hanácká)34%2.91
Handicap -1Vlašim win by 2+45%2.24
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Vlašim and Hanácká recent form

Vlašim 3W 1D 2L
Hanácká 1W 2D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Vlašim at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Win rate
75%
Goals for / match
3.00
Goals against / match
1.25
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Hanácká away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
2.50
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Vlašim at home only, Hanácká away only.

Vlašim vs Hanácká head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Vlašim 2 · draws 0 · Hanácká 0.

VlašimDrawsHanácká
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-07Hanácká0-1VlašimFNL
2025-08-03Vlašim5-0HanáckáFNL

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Vlašim to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Vlašim