Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II preview
In the match between Baník Ostrava II and Slavia Praha II, the 1X2 probabilities show Baník Ostrava II at 56%, while both teams are tied at 22%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. The model indicates a strong possibility of Over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams to score at 66%.
Baník Ostrava II's expected goals stand at 2.19, compared to Slavia Praha II's 1.32. Recent form shows Baník Ostrava II with a record of L-W-D-W-L-W, while Slavia Praha II has L-L-D-D-W-W. The head-to-head record is balanced with each team winning once in their last two encounters. The confidence grade for this match is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the outcome.
Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II: model vs market
| Source | Baník Ostrava II | Draw | Slavia Praha II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.22 vs 1.22.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Baník Ostrava II and Slavia Praha II expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.44
- Attack rating (Baník Ostrava II / Slavia Praha II)
- 1.12 / 1.14
- Defence rating (Baník Ostrava II / Slavia Praha II)
- 0.88 / 1.28
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Baník Ostrava II goals. Columns: Slavia Praha II goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Baník Ostrava II | 59% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.62 | |
| Slavia Praha II | 19% | 5.19 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 3.01 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.57 |
| No | 36% | 2.75 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Baník Ostrava II or draw) | 81% | 1.24 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Slavia Praha II) | 41% | 2.45 | |
| Handicap -1 | Baník Ostrava II win by 2+ | 38% | 2.65 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Baník Ostrava II and Slavia Praha II recent form
Baník Ostrava II
3W 1D 2L
Slavia Praha II
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Baník Ostrava II at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- 61% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Slavia Praha II away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Baník Ostrava II at home only, Slavia Praha II away only.
Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Baník Ostrava II 1 · draws 0 · Slavia Praha II 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Slavia Praha II | 0-3 | Baník Ostrava II | FNL |
| 2025-10-05 | Baník Ostrava II | 1-2 | Slavia Praha II | FNL |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Karviná vs Dukla Praha 2026-10-16
- Opava v Vysočina Jihlava — match page 2026-10-16
- Příbram vs Třinec — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem 2026-10-16
- Vlašim v Hanácká — match page 2026-10-16
Before and after this match
- Baník Ostrava II, previous: Dukla Praha v Baník Ostrava II analysis
- Slavia Praha II, previous: Slavia Praha II – Vlašim, 2026-10-09