Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem preview
Prostějov faces Ústí nad Labem with a 30% chance of winning for Prostějov and a 40% chance for Ústí nad Labem. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs 10% of the time according to our model. The expected goals are 1.13 for Prostějov and 1.33 for Ústí nad Labem, indicating a slight edge for the visitors.
Both teams to score is at 51%, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 45%. This suggests a competitive match but also highlights the potential for a low-scoring outcome. Recent form shows Prostějov with three draws and a loss in their last five matches, while Ústí nad Labem has won three of their last five.
Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem: model vs market
| Source | Prostějov | Draw | Ústí nad Labem |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 27% | 36% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 36% | 27% | 36% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Prostějov and Ústí nad Labem expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.83
- Attack rating (Prostějov / Ústí nad Labem)
- 0.96 / 1.13
- Defence rating (Prostějov / Ústí nad Labem)
- 1.03 / 0.96
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Prostějov goals. Columns: Ústí nad Labem goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Prostějov | 36% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 | |
| Ústí nad Labem | 36% | 2.76 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54% | 1.86 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 2.17 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.71 |
| No | 41% | 2.41 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Prostějov or draw) | 64% | 1.57 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Ústí nad Labem) | 64% | 1.57 | |
| Handicap -1 | Prostějov win by 2+ | 17% | 5.72 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Prostějov and Ústí nad Labem recent form
Prostějov
1W 4D 1L
Ústí nad Labem
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Prostějov at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-1
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ústí nad Labem away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Prostějov at home only, Ústí nad Labem away only.
Prostějov vs Ústí nad Labem head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Prostějov 2 · draws 0 · Ústí nad Labem 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Prostějov | 2-1 | Ústí nad Labem | FNL |
| 2025-09-19 | Ústí nad Labem | 1-2 | Prostějov | FNL |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Baník Ostrava II vs Slavia Praha II 2026-10-16
- Karviná vs Dukla Praha 2026-10-16
- Opava v Vysočina Jihlava — match page 2026-10-16
- Příbram vs Třinec — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Vlašim v Hanácká — match page 2026-10-16
Before and after this match
- Prostějov, previous: Vysočina Jihlava vs Prostějov prediction
- Ústí nad Labem, previous: Ústí nad Labem – Opava, 2026-10-09