Vejle vs Aarhus Fremad preview
In the upcoming match between Vejle and Aarhus Fremad, Vejle has a 58% chance to win, while Aarhus Fremad sits at 19%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 14% probability. Vejle's expected goals are 1.40 compared to Aarhus Fremad's 0.84, indicating a stronger attacking potential.
However, the match could deviate from these predictions. Both teams to score stands at 44%, suggesting a chance for Aarhus Fremad to find the net. Additionally, Vejle's recent form shows inconsistency with two draws and a loss in their last five matches, which could impact their performance.
Vejle vs Aarhus Fremad: model vs market
| Source | Vejle | Draw | Aarhus Fremad |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 30% | 21% |
| Market | 60% | 21% | 18% |
| Published | 58% | 23% | 19% |
| Edge | -3% | +2% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.40 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.55, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Vejle vs Aarhus Fremad odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Vejle, 12 snapshots since 2026-10-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vejle | 1.53 | 1.53 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 4.40 | 4.33 | -0.07 |
| Aarhus Fremad | 4.96 | 5.06 | +0.10 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Vejle and Aarhus Fremad expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.24
- Attack rating (Vejle / Aarhus Fremad)
- 1.26 / 0.73
- Defence rating (Vejle / Aarhus Fremad)
- 0.86 / 0.76
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Vejle vs Aarhus Fremad score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Vejle goals. Columns: Aarhus Fremad goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Vejle vs Aarhus Fremad goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 44%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Vejle vs Aarhus Fremad
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vejle | 58% | 1.74 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.26 | |
| Aarhus Fremad | 19% | 5.27 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39% | 2.57 |
| Under 2.5 | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44% | 2.27 |
| No | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Vejle or draw) | 81% | 1.23 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Aarhus Fremad) | 42% | 2.36 | |
| Handicap -1 | Vejle win by 2+ | 25% | 4.05 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Vejle and Aarhus Fremad recent form
Vejle
2W 2D 2L
Aarhus Fremad
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Vejle at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-1
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 3.20
- Goals against / match
- 2.20
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Aarhus Fremad away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-1
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Vejle at home only, Aarhus Fremad away only.
Vejle vs Aarhus Fremad head-to-head
Last 5 meetings: Vejle 1 · draws 2 · Aarhus Fremad 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Aarhus Fremad | 0-0 | Vejle | Denmark 1. Division |
| 2026-02-04 | Vejle | 0-3 | Aarhus Fremad | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2023-02-12 | Vejle | 1-2 | Aarhus Fremad | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2022-07-17 | Vejle | 0-0 | Aarhus Fremad | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2020-08-17 | Vejle | 3-2 | Aarhus Fremad | Friendlies Clubs |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Hobro v Vendsyssel FF — match page 2026-10-23
- Hvidovre vs HB Koge 2026-10-23
- Hillerød v Aalborg — match page 2026-10-24
- Esbjerg vs FC Fredericia 2026-10-24
- AB Copenhagen vs Kolding IF — team news & stats 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Vejle, previous: Aalborg vs Vejle: odds and pick
- Aarhus Fremad, previous: Aarhus Fremad vs Esbjerg prediction
- Aarhus Fremad, next: Aarhus Fremad vs FC Copenhagen prediction