Hobro vs Vendsyssel FF preview
In the fixture between Hobro and Vendsyssel FF, the 1X2 probabilities show Hobro and Vendsyssel FF both at 37%, with a draw at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which has an 8% chance of occurring. The model also indicates a strong possibility for Over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams to score at 62%.
Hobro's expected goals stand at 1.53, while Vendsyssel FF is at 1.52, suggesting a closely matched encounter. Recent form shows Hobro with a record of D-L-D-L-L-W and Vendsyssel FF at L-D-L-D-L-W. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Hobro vs Vendsyssel FF: model vs market
| Source | Hobro | Draw | Vendsyssel FF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 26% | 36% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 38% | 26% | 36% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Hobro and Vendsyssel FF expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.07
- Attack rating (Hobro / Vendsyssel FF)
- 0.92 / 0.86
- Defence rating (Hobro / Vendsyssel FF)
- 1.31 / 1.16
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Hobro vs Vendsyssel FF score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Hobro goals. Columns: Vendsyssel FF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Hobro vs Vendsyssel FF goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 63%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Hobro vs Vendsyssel FF
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hobro | 38% | 2.62 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.82 | |
| Vendsyssel FF | 36% | 2.80 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.69 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.45 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63% | 1.60 |
| No | 37% | 2.67 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Hobro or draw) | 64% | 1.56 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Vendsyssel FF) | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Handicap -1 | Hobro win by 2+ | 19% | 5.18 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Hobro and Vendsyssel FF recent form
Hobro
1W 2D 3L
Vendsyssel FF
0W 2D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Hobro at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.17
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vendsyssel FF away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-2
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 0.4 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Hobro at home only, Vendsyssel FF away only.
Hobro vs Vendsyssel FF head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Hobro 1 · draws 0 · Vendsyssel FF 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Hobro | 0-4 | Vendsyssel FF | DBU Pokalen |
| 2026-08-02 | Vendsyssel FF | 1-2 | Hobro | Denmark 1. Division |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Hvidovre vs HB Koge 2026-10-23
- Hillerød v Aalborg — match page 2026-10-24
- Esbjerg vs FC Fredericia 2026-10-24
- AB Copenhagen vs Kolding IF — team news & stats 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Hobro, previous: FC Fredericia vs Hobro prediction
- Vendsyssel FF, previous: Kolding IF vs Vendsyssel FF: odds and pick