Hvidovre vs HB Koge preview
Hvidovre faces HB Koge with a 52% chance of winning, while the expected goals show Hvidovre at 1.96 and HB Koge at 1.30. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 2-1, which aligns with a strong possibility of Over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams to score at 64%.
However, Hvidovre's recent form includes 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while HB Koge has only 2 wins in the same period. This disparity in form could influence the outcome, especially if HB Koge improves their attacking performance. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the predictions.
Hvidovre vs HB Koge: model vs market
| Source | Hvidovre | Draw | HB Koge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52% | 24% | 24% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 52% | 24% | 24% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.31.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Hvidovre and HB Koge expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.27
- Attack rating (Hvidovre / HB Koge)
- 1.22 / 1.09
- Defence rating (Hvidovre / HB Koge)
- 0.90 / 1.10
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Hvidovre vs HB Koge score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Hvidovre goals. Columns: HB Koge goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Hvidovre vs HB Koge goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Hvidovre vs HB Koge
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hvidovre | 52% | 1.93 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.19 | |
| HB Koge | 24% | 4.10 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63% | 1.58 |
| Under 2.5 | 37% | 2.73 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.57 |
| No | 36% | 2.75 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Hvidovre or draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or HB Koge) | 48% | 2.07 | |
| Handicap -1 | Hvidovre win by 2+ | 31% | 3.27 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Hvidovre and HB Koge recent form
Hvidovre
4W 2D 0L
HB Koge
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Hvidovre at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-0
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 57% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
HB Koge away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Hvidovre at home only, HB Koge away only.
Hvidovre vs HB Koge head-to-head
Last 4 meetings: Hvidovre 4 · draws 0 · HB Koge 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | HB Koge | 0-2 | Hvidovre | Denmark 1. Division |
| 2025-10-23 | Hvidovre | 3-1 | HB Koge | Denmark 1. Division |
| 2025-09-27 | HB Koge | 0-2 | Hvidovre | Denmark 1. Division |
| 2025-07-29 | Hvidovre | 4-3 | HB Koge | DBU Pokalen |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Hobro v Vendsyssel FF — match page 2026-10-23
- Hillerød v Aalborg — match page 2026-10-24
- Esbjerg vs FC Fredericia 2026-10-24
- AB Copenhagen vs Kolding IF — team news & stats 2026-10-24
Before and after this match
- Hvidovre, previous: Hvidovre v Hillerød analysis
- HB Koge, previous: HB Koge – AB Copenhagen, 2026-10-16