Updated

Denmark 1. Division · Matchday 12

AB Copenhagen vs Kolding IF

· Gladsaxe Stadium, Copenhagen

Alin prediction AB Copenhagen to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
AB CopenhagenDrawKolding IF

AB Copenhagen vs Kolding IF preview

In the match between AB Copenhagen and Kolding IF, the model gives AB Copenhagen a 45% chance to win, while Kolding IF has a 28% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% probability. The model also suggests a strong likelihood for Over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 58%.

AB Copenhagen's recent form shows 4 wins and 2 losses, while Kolding IF has 1 win, 3 draws, and 3 losses in their last 7 matches. However, Kolding IF has historically performed better in their last 7 encounters, winning 4 times against AB Copenhagen's 1 win. This could affect the outcome, despite AB Copenhagen's current form.

AB Copenhagen vs Kolding IF: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceAB CopenhagenDrawKolding IF
Model45%27%28%
Market———
Published45%27%28%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 1.24.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

AB Copenhagen and Kolding IF expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.63AB Copenhagen
1.24Kolding IF
Total expected goals
2.88
Attack rating (AB Copenhagen / Kolding IF)
1.27 / 1.11
Defence rating (AB Copenhagen / Kolding IF)
0.84 / 0.88

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

AB Copenhagen vs Kolding IF score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.8% 5.9% 4.4% 1.8% 0.7% 1 8.1% 12.6% 7.1% 2.9% 1.2% 2 7.5% 9.3% 5.8% 2.4% 1.0% 3 4.1% 5.1% 3.2% 1.3% 0.5% 4+ 2.4% 3.0% 1.9% 0.8% 0.3%

Rows: AB Copenhagen goals. Columns: Kolding IF goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

AB Copenhagen vs Kolding IF goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 79%
Over 2.5 55%
Over 3.5 33%
Both teams to score
58%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for AB Copenhagen vs Kolding IF

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2AB Copenhagen45%2.20
Draw27%3.75
Kolding IF28%3.57
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555%1.82
Under 2.545%2.22
Both teams to scoreYes58%1.71
No42%2.40
Double chance1X (AB Copenhagen or draw)72%1.39
12 (either side)73%1.36
X2 (draw or Kolding IF)55%1.83
Handicap -1AB Copenhagen win by 2+24%4.13
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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AB Copenhagen and Kolding IF recent form

AB Copenhagen 4W 0D 2L
Kolding IF 1W 3D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

AB Copenhagen at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
1.40
Goals against / match
0.80
Clean sheets
2 of 5
  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.

Kolding IF away

Record (W-D-L)
0-4-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.20
Goals against / match
1.40
Clean sheets
0 of 5
  • They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: AB Copenhagen at home only, Kolding IF away only.

AB Copenhagen vs Kolding IF head-to-head

Last 7 meetings: AB Copenhagen 1 · draws 2 · Kolding IF 4.

AB CopenhagenDrawsKolding IF
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-08-29Kolding IF2-1AB CopenhagenDenmark 1. Division
2023-06-11AB Copenhagen1-3Kolding IF2. Division
2023-04-22Kolding IF1-0AB Copenhagen2. Division
2023-04-02AB Copenhagen3-3Kolding IF2. Division
2022-09-17Kolding IF1-0AB Copenhagen2. Division
2022-03-12Kolding IF0-0AB Copenhagen2. Division
2021-10-10AB Copenhagen1-0Kolding IF2. Division

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot AB Copenhagen to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on AB Copenhagen