Updated

Denmark Superliga · Matchday 12

Randers FC vs Brondby

· Cepheus Park, Randers

Alin prediction Brondby to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Randers FCDrawBrondby
Best market odds
Randers FC3.65 Draw3.80 Brondby2.00

Price as of

Randers FC vs Brondby preview

In the Denmark Superliga fixture, Randers FC has a 30% chance of winning against Brondby, who has a 45% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an 8% probability. The model suggests a strong likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 65%.

Randers FC's recent form shows 2 wins and 4 losses in their last 6 matches, while Brondby has 2 wins and 4 losses as well. The expected goals for Randers FC are 1.70, compared to Brondby's 1.51. A draw is also possible, with a 25% chance, which could affect the outcome of the predictions.

Randers FC vs Brondby: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceRanders FCDrawBrondby
Model41%25%33%
Market26%26%48%
Published30%26%44%
Edge+15%-1%-15%

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.00, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.

Randers FC vs Brondby odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Brondby, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-19.

Opened 1.91Now 1.97 +0.06
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Randers FC3.593.60+0.01
Draw3.673.64-0.02
Brondby1.911.97+0.06

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Randers FC and Brondby expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.70Randers FC
1.51Brondby
Total expected goals
3.21
Attack rating (Randers FC / Brondby)
0.89 / 1.07
Defence rating (Randers FC / Brondby)
0.98 / 1.16

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Randers FC vs Brondby score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.1% 5.1% 4.6% 2.3% 1.2% 1 5.8% 11.4% 7.8% 3.9% 2.1% 2 5.8% 8.8% 6.6% 3.3% 1.8% 3 3.3% 5.0% 3.8% 1.9% 1.0% 4+ 2.1% 3.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.6%

Rows: Randers FC goals. Columns: Brondby goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Randers FC vs Brondby goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 84%
Over 2.5 62%
Over 3.5 40%
Both teams to score
65%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Randers FC vs Brondby

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Randers FC30%3.33
Draw26%3.88
Brondby44%2.26
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562%1.61
Under 2.538%2.64
Both teams to scoreYes65%1.55
No35%2.83
Double chance1X (Randers FC or draw)56%1.79
12 (either side)74%1.35
X2 (draw or Brondby)70%1.43
Handicap -1Brondby win by 2+16%6.17
Push (exactly one goal)17%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Randers FC and Brondby recent form

Randers FC 2W 1D 3L
Brondby 2W 0D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Randers FC at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-3
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.67
Clean sheets
1 of 6
  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Brondby away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Win rate
20%
Goals for / match
1.20
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Randers FC at home only, Brondby away only.

Randers FC vs Brondby head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Randers FC 2 · draws 4 · Brondby 4.

Randers FCDrawsBrondby
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-09-06Brondby0-3Randers FCDenmark Superliga
2026-02-08Brondby0-0Randers FCDenmark Superliga
2025-08-17Randers FC0-2BrondbyDenmark Superliga
2025-04-25Randers FC0-0BrondbySuperliga
2025-04-21Brondby4-3Randers FCSuperliga
2025-03-10Randers FC4-2BrondbySuperliga
2024-08-25Brondby2-2Randers FCSuperliga
2023-11-02Randers FC0-1BrondbyDBU Pokalen
2023-10-22Randers FC2-2BrondbySuperliga
2023-09-03Brondby3-1Randers FCSuperliga

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Brondby to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Brondby