Silkeborg vs FC Nordsjaelland preview
In the Denmark Superliga fixture between Silkeborg and FC Nordsjaelland, the 1X2 probabilities show FC Nordsjaelland at 54%, while Silkeborg is at 23%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring at a 10% probability. With expected goals of 1.32 for Silkeborg and 2.10 for FC Nordsjaelland, the match could see a high-scoring outcome.
The model indicates a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 67% and both teams to score at 65%. However, Silkeborg's recent form shows 1 win in their last 6 matches, which could impact their performance. FC Nordsjaelland has shown slightly better form with 2 wins in their last 6, but a draw streak could also affect the outcome.
Silkeborg vs FC Nordsjaelland: model vs market
| Source | Silkeborg | Draw | FC Nordsjaelland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23% | 23% | 54% |
| Market | 22% | 22% | 56% |
| Published | 22% | 22% | 56% |
| Edge | +1% | +1% | -2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 1.32.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
Silkeborg vs FC Nordsjaelland odds movement
Median bookmaker price on FC Nordsjaelland, 2 snapshots since 2026-10-19.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Silkeborg | 4.26 | 4.33 | +0.07 |
| Draw | 4.25 | 4.25 | +0.00 |
| FC Nordsjaelland | 1.67 | 1.66 | -0.01 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Silkeborg and FC Nordsjaelland expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.43
- Attack rating (Silkeborg / FC Nordsjaelland)
- 0.93 / 1.15
- Defence rating (Silkeborg / FC Nordsjaelland)
- 1.28 / 0.87
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Silkeborg vs FC Nordsjaelland score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Silkeborg goals. Columns: FC Nordsjaelland goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Silkeborg vs FC Nordsjaelland goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Silkeborg vs FC Nordsjaelland
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Silkeborg | 22% | 4.56 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.51 | |
| FC Nordsjaelland | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 2.99 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.53 |
| No | 35% | 2.89 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Silkeborg or draw) | 44% | 2.27 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.29 | |
| X2 (draw or FC Nordsjaelland) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Nordsjaelland win by 2+ | 33% | 2.99 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Silkeborg and FC Nordsjaelland recent form
Silkeborg
1W 4D 1L
FC Nordsjaelland
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Silkeborg at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-1
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- 67% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Nordsjaelland away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-2
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Silkeborg at home only, FC Nordsjaelland away only.
Silkeborg vs FC Nordsjaelland head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Silkeborg 1 · draws 0 · FC Nordsjaelland 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | FC Nordsjaelland | 1-0 | Silkeborg | Denmark Superliga |
| 2025-12-07 | FC Nordsjaelland | 5-0 | Silkeborg | Denmark Superliga |
| 2025-08-10 | Silkeborg | 4-2 | FC Nordsjaelland | Denmark Superliga |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Randers FC vs Brondby 2026-10-23
- FC Midtjylland v Lyngby — match page 2026-10-25
- AC Horsens v Sonderjyske — match page 2026-10-25
- Aarhus vs Viborg — team news & stats 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Silkeborg, previous: Sonderjyske – Silkeborg, 2026-10-18
- FC Nordsjaelland, previous: FC Nordsjaelland v CSKA Sofia analysis
- FC Nordsjaelland, next: Esbjerg vs FC Nordsjaelland: odds and pick