Updated

Egypt Premier League · Matchday 8

National Bank of Egypt vs AL Masry

· Stadium National Bank of Egypt, Cairo

Alin prediction National Bank of Egypt to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 0

11% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
National Bank of EgyptDrawAL Masry
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 0.98.
  • RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Best market odds
National Bank of Egypt2.69 Draw3.10 AL Masry2.80

Price as of

Expected return at 2.69: +4.8% per unit staked

18+ · T&Cs apply · best price across 9 bookmakers, each at its own last update; the highlighted price is our pick.

National Bank of Egypt vs AL Masry preview

In the upcoming match between National Bank of Egypt and AL Masry, the 1X2 probabilities show National Bank of Egypt at 49% to win, while AL Masry sits at 23%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, occurring with an 11% chance. National Bank of Egypt has an expected goals figure of 1.53, compared to AL Masry's 0.98, indicating a potential edge in scoring.

However, both teams to score has a probability of 50%, suggesting that AL Masry could find the net. Recent form also plays a role, with National Bank of Egypt having a mixed record of D-W-L-W-W-L, while AL Masry has struggled, recording D-D-L-L-L-W. This context could influence the match outcome, making predictions less certain.

National Bank of Egypt vs AL Masry: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceNational Bank of EgyptDrawAL Masry
Model49%28%23%
Market36%30%34%
Published39%30%31%
Edge+3%-1%-3%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 0.98.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices National Bank of Egypt below our published probability: +3.3 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.69, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +4.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

National Bank of Egypt vs AL Masry odds movement

Median bookmaker price on National Bank of Egypt, 10 snapshots since 2026-10-22.

Opened 2.56Now 2.57 +0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
National Bank of Egypt2.562.57+0.00
Draw2.973.02+0.05
AL Masry2.682.70+0.02

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

National Bank of Egypt and AL Masry expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.53National Bank of Egypt
0.98AL Masry
Total expected goals
2.50
Attack rating (National Bank of Egypt / AL Masry)
1.23 / 0.91
Defence rating (National Bank of Egypt / AL Masry)
1.05 / 1.17

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

National Bank of Egypt vs AL Masry score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 9.4% 6.8% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4% 1 11.3% 13.4% 6.0% 1.9% 0.6% 2 9.5% 9.3% 4.5% 1.5% 0.4% 3 4.9% 4.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.2% 4+ 2.6% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%

Rows: National Bank of Egypt goals. Columns: AL Masry goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

National Bank of Egypt vs AL Masry goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 91%
Over 1.5 73%
Over 2.5 46%
Over 3.5 24%
Both teams to score
50%
No goals (0–0)
9%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for National Bank of Egypt vs AL Masry

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2National Bank of Egypt39%2.57
Draw30%3.35
AL Masry31%3.20
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546%2.19
Under 2.554%1.84
Both teams to scoreYes50%2.00
No50%2.00
Double chance1X (National Bank of Egypt or draw)69%1.45
12 (either side)70%1.42
X2 (draw or AL Masry)61%1.64
Handicap -1National Bank of Egypt win by 2+26%3.90
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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National Bank of Egypt and AL Masry recent form

National Bank of Egypt 3W 1D 2L
AL Masry 1W 2D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

National Bank of Egypt at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Win rate
67%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
1.33
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

AL Masry away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.67
Goals against / match
1.67
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: National Bank of Egypt at home only, AL Masry away only.

National Bank of Egypt vs AL Masry head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: National Bank of Egypt 3 · draws 4 · AL Masry 3.

National Bank of EgyptDrawsAL Masry
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2025-10-03National Bank of Egypt0-1AL MasryEgypt Premier League
2025-05-24National Bank of Egypt0-1AL MasryPremier League
2025-03-24National Bank of Egypt1-1AL MasryLeague Cup
2025-03-07National Bank of Egypt3-1AL MasryCup
2025-02-12AL Masry0-0National Bank of EgyptPremier League
2024-08-09National Bank of Egypt1-3AL MasryCup
2024-05-16National Bank of Egypt5-2AL MasryPremier League
2024-01-17National Bank of Egypt2-2AL MasryLeague Cup
2023-11-05AL Masry0-4National Bank of EgyptPremier League
2023-04-25National Bank of Egypt0-0AL MasryPremier League

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot National Bank of Egypt to win Predicted score 1 – 0 C Bet on National Bank of Egypt
Our pick: National Bank of Egypt to win 18+ Bet Now