Updated

Egypt Premier League · Matchday 8

Pyramids FC vs Wadi Degla

· 30 June Stadium, Cairo

Alin prediction Pyramids FC to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 0

12% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Pyramids FCDrawWadi Degla
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.62 vs 0.74.
  • RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Best market odds
Pyramids FC1.44 Draw4.33 Wadi Degla7.81

Price as of

Expected return at 1.44: -2.3% per unit staked

18+ · T&Cs apply · best price across 9 bookmakers, each at its own last update; the highlighted price is our pick.

Pyramids FC vs Wadi Degla preview

Pyramids FC faces Wadi Degla with a 72% chance of winning, while Wadi Degla has only a 10% probability. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, which aligns with expected goals of 2.40 for Pyramids FC and just 0.82 for Wadi Degla.

However, Wadi Degla has shown some resilience, with a recent form of D-D-L-L-D-W, which could challenge Pyramids FC's dominance. The model suggests a 62% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance for both teams to score, indicating that while Pyramids FC is favored, surprises can happen in football.

Pyramids FC vs Wadi Degla: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourcePyramids FCDrawWadi Degla
Model77%16%8%
Market65%22%13%
Published68%21%12%
Edge+3%-2%-1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.62 vs 0.74.
  • Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Pyramids FC below our published probability: +3.0 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.44, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Pyramids FC vs Wadi Degla odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Pyramids FC, 7 snapshots since 2026-10-24.

Opened 1.40Now 1.40 +0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Pyramids FC1.401.40+0.00
Draw4.054.10+0.05
Wadi Degla6.907.00+0.10

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Pyramids FC and Wadi Degla expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.62Pyramids FC
0.74Wadi Degla
Total expected goals
3.36
Attack rating (Pyramids FC / Wadi Degla)
2.22 / 1.19
Defence rating (Pyramids FC / Wadi Degla)
0.61 / 1.11

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Pyramids FC vs Wadi Degla score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.1% 1.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 1 8.4% 7.4% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 2 11.9% 8.8% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 3 10.4% 7.7% 2.9% 0.7% 0.2% 4+ 12.8% 9.5% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2%

Rows: Pyramids FC goals. Columns: Wadi Degla goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Pyramids FC vs Wadi Degla goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 65%
Over 3.5 43%
Both teams to score
49%
No goals (0–0)
4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Pyramids FC vs Wadi Degla

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Pyramids FC68%1.47
Draw21%4.87
Wadi Degla12%8.60
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565%1.53
Under 2.535%2.88
Both teams to scoreYes49%2.03
No51%1.97
Double chance1X (Pyramids FC or draw)88%1.13
12 (either side)79%1.26
X2 (draw or Wadi Degla)32%3.11
Handicap -1Pyramids FC win by 2+56%1.78
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Compare the market for this pick

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Pyramids FC and Wadi Degla recent form

Pyramids FC 6W 0D 0L
Wadi Degla 1W 3D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Pyramids FC at home

Record (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Win rate
100%
Goals for / match
2.33
Goals against / match
0.33
Clean sheets
2 of 3
  • They have won 7 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Wadi Degla away

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
1.67
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Pyramids FC at home only, Wadi Degla away only.

Pyramids FC vs Wadi Degla head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Pyramids FC 4 · draws 4 · Wadi Degla 2.

Pyramids FCDrawsWadi Degla
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-01-10Wadi Degla4-0Pyramids FCLeague Cup
2025-08-08Wadi Degla0-0Pyramids FCEgypt Premier League
2021-05-06Wadi Degla1-3Pyramids FCPremier League
2021-01-11Pyramids FC1-1Wadi DeglaPremier League
2020-09-16Wadi Degla0-2Pyramids FCPremier League
2019-12-25Pyramids FC1-0Wadi DeglaPremier League
2019-05-14Pyramids FC1-1Wadi DeglaPremier League
2018-11-21Wadi Degla1-1Pyramids FCPremier League
2018-04-05Wadi Degla0-2Pyramids FCPremier League
2017-12-20Pyramids FC0-2Wadi DeglaPremier League

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Pyramids FC to win Predicted score 2 – 0 C Bet on Pyramids FC
Our pick: Pyramids FC to win 18+ Bet Now