Primera Division · Apertura - 13

Atletico Balboa vs Cacahuatique

Full time0 – 2

Alin prediction was Atletico Balboa to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 1 – 0

13% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Atletico BalboaDrawCacahuatique

Atletico Balboa vs Cacahuatique: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceAtletico BalboaDrawCacahuatique
Model46%30%24%
Market41%29%29%
Published42%30%28%
Edge+5%+1%-5%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.36 vs 0.92.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Atletico Balboa below the model: +4.5 percentage points of edge.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Atletico Balboa vs Cacahuatique odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Atletico Balboa, 2 snapshots since 2026-09-29.

Opened 2.20Now 2.20 -0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Atletico Balboa2.202.20-0.00
Draw2.983.08+0.09
Cacahuatique3.103.08-0.02

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Atletico Balboa and Cacahuatique expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.36Atletico Balboa
0.92Cacahuatique
Total expected goals
2.28
Attack rating (Atletico Balboa / Cacahuatique)
0.89 / 0.67
Defence rating (Atletico Balboa / Cacahuatique)
1.08 / 1.14

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Atletico Balboa vs Cacahuatique score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 11.5% 8.1% 4.3% 1.3% 0.4% 1 12.6% 14.1% 5.9% 1.8% 0.5% 2 9.5% 8.7% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 3 4.3% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 4+ 2.0% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Rows: Atletico Balboa goals. Columns: Cacahuatique goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Atletico Balboa vs Cacahuatique goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 88%
Over 1.5 68%
Over 2.5 40%
Over 3.5 20%
Both teams to score
46%
No goals (0–0)
12%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Atletico Balboa vs Cacahuatique

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Atletico Balboa42%2.36
Draw30%3.38
Cacahuatique28%3.57
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540%2.51
Under 2.560%1.66
Both teams to scoreYes46%2.17
No54%1.85
Double chance1X (Atletico Balboa or draw)72%1.39
12 (either side)70%1.42
X2 (draw or Cacahuatique)58%1.73
Handicap -1Atletico Balboa win by 2+22%4.47
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Atletico Balboa and Cacahuatique recent form

Atletico Balboa 1W 1D 4L
Cacahuatique 0W 2D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Atletico Balboa at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
0.80
Goals against / match
0.60
Clean sheets
3 of 5
  • They have won 3 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 12 matches.

Cacahuatique away

Record (W-D-L)
0-3-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.25
Goals against / match
0.75
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 1 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 12 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 12 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Atletico Balboa at home only, Cacahuatique away only.

Atletico Balboa vs Cacahuatique head-to-head

Last 1 meetings: Atletico Balboa 0 · draws 0 · Cacahuatique 1.

Atletico BalboaDrawsCacahuatique
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-07-28Cacahuatique4-2Atletico BalboaPrimera Division

Other Apertura - 13 fixtures