Cacahuatique vs Firpo preview
Cacahuatique faces Firpo with a 16% chance of winning compared to Firpo's 58%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which aligns with Firpo's expected goals of 1.66 against Cacahuatique's 0.77.
While the model suggests a low probability for Over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams to score at 45%, Cacahuatique's recent form shows inconsistency with 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Firpo, on the other hand, has a stronger record with 4 wins in their last 6 games. This could impact the match outcome, making the prediction less certain.
Cacahuatique vs Firpo: model vs market
| Source | Cacahuatique | Draw | Firpo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 15% | 26% | 59% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 15% | 26% | 59% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 0.72.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Cacahuatique and Firpo expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.40
- Attack rating (Cacahuatique / Firpo)
- 0.76 / 1.24
- Defence rating (Cacahuatique / Firpo)
- 1.06 / 0.69
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Cacahuatique vs Firpo score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Cacahuatique goals. Columns: Firpo goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Cacahuatique vs Firpo goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 43%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Cacahuatique vs Firpo
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cacahuatique | 15% | 6.84 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.84 | |
| Firpo | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43% | 2.34 |
| No | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Cacahuatique or draw) | 41% | 2.46 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.35 | |
| X2 (draw or Firpo) | 85% | 1.17 | |
| Handicap -1 | Firpo win by 2+ | 34% | 2.95 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Cacahuatique and Firpo recent form
Cacahuatique
2W 2D 2L
Firpo
3W 3D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Cacahuatique at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-5
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.10
- Goals against / match
- 1.70
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 10
- They have won 2 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 17 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 17 matches.
Firpo away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-4-1
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.57
- Goals against / match
- 1.29
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 9 of their 17 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 17 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Cacahuatique at home only, Firpo away only.
Cacahuatique vs Firpo head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Cacahuatique 2 · draws 3 · Firpo 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Firpo | 0-0 | Cacahuatique | Primera Division |
| 2026-04-02 | Firpo | 1-0 | Cacahuatique | Primera Division |
| 2026-02-25 | Cacahuatique | 0-1 | Firpo | Copa Presidente |
| 2026-02-04 | Cacahuatique | 1-3 | Firpo | Primera Division |
| 2025-10-12 | Firpo | 3-0 | Cacahuatique | Primera Division |
| 2025-08-10 | Cacahuatique | 1-3 | Firpo | Primera Division |
| 2025-05-03 | Cacahuatique | 1-1 | Firpo | Primera Division |
| 2025-03-09 | Firpo | 1-1 | Cacahuatique | Primera Division |
| 2024-10-05 | Cacahuatique | 1-0 | Firpo | Primera Division |
| 2024-08-03 | Firpo | 1-3 | Cacahuatique | Primera Division |
Other Apertura - 20 fixtures
- Isidro Metapán vs Platense 2026-11-11
- Fuerte San Francisco v Alianza — match page 2026-11-11
- FAS vs Inter — team news & stats 2026-11-12
Before and after this match
- Cacahuatique, previous: Platense vs Cacahuatique: odds and pick
- Firpo, previous: Inter vs Firpo prediction